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Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Wolfsburg
U U T T S
2–3
Full-time
Werder Bremen
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
25%
92%
Both score Ø 67%
42%
92%
Average goals
1,9
3,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 9. · Werder Bremen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 13 9 1 3 +13 28
2 RB Leipzig 13 8 3 2 +21 27
3 Schalke 04 13 7 4 2 +8 25
4 Bayern Munich 13 7 3 3 +16 24
5 Dortmund 13 6 5 2 +9 23
6 Freiburg 13 6 4 3 +6 22
7 Leverkusen 13 6 4 3 +3 22
8 Hoffenheim 13 6 3 4 -2 21
9 Wolfsburg 12 5 5 2 +3 20
10 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 2 5 +3 17
11 Union Berlin 13 5 1 7 -3 16
12 Augsburg 13 3 5 5 -7 14
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 3 3 7 -8 12
14 Mainz 12 4 0 8 -14 12
15 Werder Bremen 12 2 5 5 -7 11
16 Hertha 13 3 2 8 -9 11
17 FC Koln 13 2 2 9 -16 8
18 Paderborn 13 1 2 10 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
13′
M. Rashica 0–1
1–1 W. Weghorst
J. Brooks
36′
39′
L. Bittencourt 1–2
L. Augustinsson
Half-time 1–2
60′
🟨 Christian Groß
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
60′
68′
🟨 Yuya Osako
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ R. Knoche
73′
2–2 William
J. Guilavogui
73′
76′
🔁 J. Sargent
↦ P. Bargfrede
78′
🔁 C. Pizarro
↦ Y. Ōsako
81′
🟨 Milot Rashica
83′
M. Rashica 2–3
M. Eggestein
R. Steffen 🔁
↦ João Victor
84′
86′
🔁 M. Lang
↦ L. Bittencourt
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Miloš Veljković
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
5 J. Bruma D
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon M
25 J. Brooks D
2 William M
14 A. Mehmedi F
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
9 W. Weghorst F
40 João Victor F
Bench (9)
7 J. Brekalo
33 D. Ginczek
8 R. Steffen
11 F. Klaus
13 Y. Gerhardt
37 E. Rexhbecaj
24 X. Schlager
19 K. Mbabu
12 P. Pervan

Coach: O. Glasner

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
44 P. Bargfrede M
36 C. Groß D
30 D. Klaassen M
10 L. Bittencourt F
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
8 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (9)
19 J. Sargent
14 C. Pizarro
4 M. Lang
24 J. Eggestein
27 S. Kapino
15 S. Langkamp
32 M. Friedl
17 N. Şahin
39 B. Goller

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
3,64
B ✓
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.