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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

M'gladbach

T S S S T

4–2

Full-time

Freiburg

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

22 Shots 13

13 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 2. · Freiburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	13	8	3	2	+21	27
2	M'gladbach	12	8	1	3	+11	25
3	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+8	25
4	Bayern Munich	13	7	3	3	+16	24
5	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Freiburg	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+3	22
8	Hoffenheim	13	6	3	4	-2	21
9	Wolfsburg	12	5	5	2	+3	20
10	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	2	5	+3	17
11	Union Berlin	13	5	1	7	-3	16
12	Augsburg	13	3	5	5	-7	14
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	3	7	-8	12
14	Mainz	12	4	0	8	-14	12
15	Werder Bremen	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	Hertha	13	3	2	8	-9	11
17	FC Koln	13	2	2	9	-16	8
18	Paderborn	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+12	14
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+12	13
4	M'gladbach	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Schalke 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Union Berlin	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	2	1	+10	11
8	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Leverkusen	7	2	4	1	+2	10
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+0	9
12	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Mainz	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Paderborn	7	1	0	6	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Schalke 04	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Bayern Munich	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Dortmund	7	2	3	2	-3	9
10	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-8	6
12	Mainz	7	2	0	5	-13	6
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Hertha	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	FC Koln	7	1	1	5	-11	4
17	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.