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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Verona
T S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Roma
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
23%
54%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
8 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 9. · Roma 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 14 12 1 1 +18 37
2 Juventus 14 11 3 0 +13 36
3 Lazio 14 9 3 2 +19 30
4 Atalanta 14 7 4 3 +13 25
5 Cagliari 13 7 4 2 +11 25
6 Roma 13 7 4 2 +9 25
7 Napoli 14 5 5 4 +5 20
8 Parma 14 5 3 6 +2 18
9 Verona 13 5 3 5 +0 18
10 Torino 14 5 2 7 -4 17
11 Milan 14 5 2 7 -4 17
12 Bologna 14 4 4 6 -3 16
13 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 -3 16
14 Sassuolo 13 4 2 7 -1 14
15 Lecce 14 3 5 6 -9 14
16 Udinese 14 4 2 8 -14 14
17 Sampdoria 13 3 3 7 -11 12
18 Genoa 14 2 4 8 -13 10
19 Spal 14 2 3 9 -12 9
20 Brescia 13 2 1 10 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Roma
17′
Justin Kluivert 0–1
Lorenzo Pellegrini
1–1 Davide Faraoni
Mattia Zaccagni
21′
28′
🟨 Lorenzo Pellegrini
35′
🔁 Diego Perotti
↦ Justin Kluivert
Koray Günter 🟨
44′
45′
Diego Perotti 1–2
Half-time 1–2
61′
🟨 Gianluca Mancini
Salvatore Bocchetti 🟨
64′
Eddie Salcedo 🔁
↦ Valerio Verre
65′
67′
🔁 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
↦ Cengiz Ünder
70′
🟨 Amadou Diawara
Miguel Veloso 🔁
↦ Matteo Pessina
70′
Giampaolo Pazzini 🔁
↦ Mattia Zaccagni
80′
86′
🔁 Federico Fazio
↦ Edin Džeko
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
87′
90′
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 1–3
Diego Perotti
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-1-2
1 Marco Silvestri G
13 Amir Rrahmani D
21 Koray Günter D
15 Salvatore Bocchetti D
5 Davide Faraoni M
34 Sofyan Amrabat M
32 Matteo Pessina M
88 Darko Lazović M
14 Valerio Verre F
10 Samuel Di Carmine F
20 Mattia Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
96 Boris Radunović
22 Alessandro Berardi
33 Alan Empereur
3 Luigi Vitale
27 Paweł Dawidowicz
98 Claud Adjapong
25 Andrea Danzi
4 Miguel Veloso
8 Liam Henderson
9 Mariusz Stępiński
29 Eddie Salcedo
11 Giampaolo Pazzini

Coach: I. Juric

Roma

4-2-3-1
13 Pau López G
18 Davide Santon D
23 Gianluca Mancini D
6 Chris Smalling D
11 Aleksandar Kolarov D
42 Amadou Diawara M
21 Jordan Veretout M
17 Cengiz Ünder M
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M
99 Justin Kluivert M
9 Edin Džeko F
Bench (11)
63 Daniel Fuzato
45 Matteo Cardinali
24 Alessandro Florenzi
37 Leonardo Spinazzola
20 Federico Fazio
5 Juan Jesus
15 Yıldırım Mert Çetin
77 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
48 Mirko Antonucci
19 Nikola Kalinić
8 Diego Perotti

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,28
U
3,57
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.