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Super League

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Olympiakos

S U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Panathinaikos

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,2

This season — Super League · 6/9 matches

Win Ø 53%

83%

22%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

33%

11%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

0,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Panathinaikos 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Aris Thessalonikis	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Aris	6	5	1	0	+6	16
4	PAOK	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	AEK	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Volos NFC	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Atromitos	9	3	3	3	-4	12
8	Asteras Tripolis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Giannina	9	2	4	3	+0	10
10	Panathinaikos	9	2	3	4	-1	9
11	OFI Crete	8	1	3	4	-6	6
12	Larisa	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Apollon	8	1	1	6	-7	4
14	Panetolikos	8	0	4	4	-8	4
15	Lamia	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Aris Thessalonikis	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Aris	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	AEK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	PAOK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Asteras Tripolis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Volos NFC	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Panathinaikos	5	1	1	3	-2	4
10	OFI Crete	4	0	3	1	-2	3
11	Apollon	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Giannina	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Lamia	5	0	2	3	-4	2
14	Larisa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Panetolikos	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Giannina	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Volos NFC	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	AEK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Aris	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Panathinaikos	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	Atromitos	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Larisa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	OFI Crete	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Panetolikos	5	0	3	2	-4	3
14	Apollon	5	0	1	4	-5	1
15	Lamia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.