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Super League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
Giannina
U U U T S
0–1
Full-time
AEK
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Giannina AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Super League · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
80%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Giannina 8. · AEK 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 5 4 1 0 +5 13
2 Aris 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Volos NFC 7 3 2 2 +2 11
4 Olympiakos 4 3 1 0 +9 10
5 Asteras Tripolis 5 3 1 1 +1 10
6 PAOK 5 2 3 0 +4 9
7 AEK 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Giannina 5 1 3 1 +0 6
9 OFI Crete 6 1 3 2 -3 6
10 Atromitos 5 1 2 2 -5 5
11 Apollon 4 1 0 3 -2 3
12 Panathinaikos 6 0 3 3 -3 3
13 Panetolikos 5 0 3 2 -4 3
14 Larisa 4 0 1 3 -4 1
15 Lamia 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Giannina AEK
Lefteris Choutesiotis 🟨
15′
16′
K. Ansarifard 0–1
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Muamer Tanković
52′
🟨 Karim Ansarifard
Alexandros Kartalis 🟨
56′
56′
🔁 M. Livaja
↦ M. Tankovic
Stefanos Siontis 🟨
57′
V. Naumets 🔁
↦ S. Siontis
61′
Juan Domínguez 🔁
↦ A. Kartalis
66′
Edwin Castro 🟨
68′
69′
🟨 Nenad Krstičić
70′
🔁 Emanuel Insúa
↦ T. Macheras
70′
🔁 Nélson Oliveira
↦ K. Ansarifard
A. Lolis 🔁
↦ C. Eleftheriadis
86′
90′
🟨 Emanuel Insua
90′
🟨 Panagiotis Tsintotas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Giannina

4-4-2
33 E. Choutesiotis G
15 R. Erramuspe D
43 M. Peersman D
7 A. Kartalis M
6 G. Kargas D
22 S. Siontis M
9 C. Eleftheriadis M
2 M. Saliakas D
21 F. Castro M
29 J. Leo F
14 G. Pamlidis F
Bench (9)
17 V. Naumets
10 Juan Domínguez
19 A. Lolis
8 F. Brener
23 S. Pilios
80 A. Liasos
4 E. Pantelakis
24 A. Oikonomopoulos
1 S. Yiannikoglou

Coach: A. Giannikis

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 P. Tsintotas G
27 Paulinho D
3 Hélder Lopes D
5 I. Nedelcearu D
26 N. Hnid D
6 N. Krstičić M
28 Y. Shakhov M
20 P. Mandalos M
53 T. Macheras F
11 K. Ansarifard F
17 M. Tankovic M
Bench (9)
10 M. Livaja
22 Emanuel Insúa
18 Nélson Oliveira
70 G. Botos
24 E. Svarnas
44 A. Šabanadžović
2 M. Bakakis
52 E. Christopoulos
30 G. Athanasiadis

Coach: M. Carrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,72
U
3,59
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.