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Super League
2–1
Full-time
Aris
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 52%
40%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
30%
32%
Both score Ø 26%
30%
21%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 7
20 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 7. · Aris 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 20 17 3 0 +42 54
2 AEK 20 12 4 4 +10 40
3 Aris Thessalonikis 19 12 3 4 +13 39
4 Aris 19 12 3 4 +13 39
5 Panathinaikos 21 11 4 6 +10 37
6 PAOK 20 10 6 4 +13 36
7 Asteras Tripolis 20 8 6 6 -1 30
8 Volos NFC 22 5 9 8 -10 24
9 Atromitos 20 5 8 7 -7 23
10 Giannina 21 4 8 9 -4 20
11 OFI Crete 20 5 4 11 -14 19
12 Apollon 20 5 3 12 -7 18
13 Panetolikos 20 2 7 11 -14 13
14 Lamia 19 3 4 12 -20 13
15 Larisa 21 1 6 14 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
3,17
B
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,46
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.