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Premier League

Referee: D Coote

Man City

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Sheffield United

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Sheffield United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

0,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,7

This season — Premier League · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 37%

63%

10%

Points per game

2,2

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

32%

40%

Both score Ø 41%

37%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,9

0,6

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%

10 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 0

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man City 1. · Sheffield United 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	19	12	5	2	+23	41
2	Man United	20	12	4	4	+10	40
3	Leicester	20	12	3	5	+14	39
4	Liverpool	20	10	7	3	+17	37
5	West Ham	20	10	5	5	+6	35
6	Tottenham	19	9	6	4	+14	33
7	Everton	19	10	3	6	+5	33
8	Chelsea	20	8	6	6	+10	30
9	Arsenal	20	9	3	8	+6	30
10	Aston Villa	18	9	2	7	+12	29
11	Southampton	19	8	5	6	+3	29
12	Leeds	19	8	2	9	-3	26
13	Wolves	20	6	5	9	-8	23
14	Crystal Palace	20	6	5	9	-12	23
15	Burnley	19	6	4	9	-11	22
16	Newcastle	21	6	4	11	-13	22
17	Brighton	20	3	9	8	-7	18
18	Fulham	19	2	7	10	-12	13
19	West Brom	20	2	5	13	-33	11
20	Sheffield United	20	2	2	16	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	West Ham	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Chelsea	10	4	4	2	+8	16
5	Southampton	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Leicester	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Tottenham	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Everton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Arsenal	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Man United	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+6	13
12	Burnley	9	4	1	4	-2	13
13	Wolves	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Leeds	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Newcastle	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Brighton	10	0	6	4	-5	6
18	Fulham	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	West Brom	10	1	2	7	-24	5
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	10	8	2	0	+12	26
2	Leicester	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Everton	9	6	1	2	+4	19
4	Tottenham	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	Man City	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	West Ham	10	5	2	3	+2	17
7	Aston Villa	10	5	1	4	+6	16
8	Arsenal	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Leeds	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Liverpool	10	3	5	2	+5	14
11	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+2	14
12	Southampton	9	3	4	2	+0	13
13	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Wolves	10	3	2	5	-7	11
17	Burnley	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Fulham	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.