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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

S U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Paderborn

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

61%

39%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

72%

39%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

20 Shots 15

12 Shots on target 5

8 Corners 8

3 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 1. · Paderborn 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	18	11	4	3	+19	37
2	Bochum	18	11	3	4	+16	36
3	Greuther Furth	19	10	5	4	+14	35
4	Holstein Kiel	18	9	6	3	+11	33
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	5	5	+4	32
6	Karlsruhe	18	9	2	7	+5	29
7	Erzgebirge Aue	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Hannover	18	8	2	8	+7	26
9	Paderborn	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Heidenheim	18	7	5	6	+1	26
11	Regensburg	18	6	5	7	-3	23
12	Osnabruck	18	6	4	8	-8	22
13	Darmstadt	18	6	3	9	-4	21
14	Nurnberg	18	5	5	8	-4	20
15	Braunschweig	18	4	5	9	-19	17
16	St Pauli	18	3	7	8	-8	16
17	Sandhausen	18	4	3	11	-18	15
18	Wurzburger Kickers	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	3	0	+8	21
3	Bochum	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Hamburg	9	6	1	2	+14	19
5	Erzgebirge Aue	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Hannover	8	5	1	2	+10	16
8	Greuther Furth	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Regensburg	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Holstein Kiel	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	-5	14
12	Karlsruhe	9	4	1	4	+2	13
13	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
14	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Darmstadt	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	St Pauli	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	10	6	3	1	+11	21
2	Holstein Kiel	9	5	4	0	+10	19
3	Hamburg	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Karlsruhe	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Bochum	9	5	1	3	+2	16
6	Osnabruck	9	4	3	2	-2	15
7	Erzgebirge Aue	10	3	2	5	-3	11
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	2	5	-4	11
9	Darmstadt	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Hannover	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Paderborn	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Regensburg	9	2	3	4	-5	9
13	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-4	7
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	0	8	-11	3
17	Braunschweig	8	0	3	5	-14	3
18	Sandhausen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.