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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
St. Gallen
U U T S T
2–3
Full-time
Zurich
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
1,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Zurich 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 15 9 5 1 +12 32
2 Basel 16 8 2 6 +2 26
3 Lugano 15 5 8 2 +2 23
4 St. Gallen 15 6 5 4 +2 23
5 Zurich 16 6 4 6 +5 22
6 Lausanne 15 5 4 6 +0 19
7 Servette 14 5 4 5 -1 19
8 Sion 16 3 7 6 -6 16
9 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
10 Vaduz 16 2 5 9 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Zurich
1–0 K. Duah
B. Stillhart
2′
2–0 B. Stillhart
Jordi Quintillà
10′
16′
A. Marchesano 2–1
28′
🟨 Assan Ceesay
38′
A. Marchesano 2–2
40′
🟨 Adrian Winter
Jordi Quintillà 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
B. Babic 🔁
↦ K. Duah
46′
E. Youan 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
46′
S. Diarrassouba 🔁
↦ Víctor Ruiz
46′
47′
S. Khelifi 2–3
B. Džemaili
Leonidas Stergiou 🟨
66′
71′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ A. Marchesano
T. Staubli 🔁
↦ Euclides Cabral
76′
76′
🔁 F. Rohner
↦ S. Khelifi
André Ribeiro 🔁
↦ A. Kräuchi
80′
84′
🔁 H. Kryeziu
↦ B. Džemaili
84′
🔁 T. Domgjoni
↦ A. Ceesay
Tim Staubli 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
15 Euclides Cabral D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
6 B. Stillhart M
24 K. Duah F
29 A. Kräuchi D
23 B. Fazliji D
16 L. Görtler M
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (7)
34 B. Babic
20 E. Youan
55 S. Diarrassouba
26 T. Staubli
11 André Ribeiro
18 L. Watkowiak
3 M. Nuhu

Coach: P. Zeidler

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Nathan D
21 B. Džemaili M
7 A. Winter D
10 A. Marchesano M
26 S. Khelifi M
20 O. Doumbia M
9 A. Ceesay F
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
22 W. Gnonto
23 F. Rohner
71 H. Kryeziu
14 T. Domgjoni
1 Ž. Kostadinović
19 T. Schättin
42 S. Wallner

Coach: M. Rizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.