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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
Heracles
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Groningen
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 44%
32%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 10. · Groningen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 19 15 2 2 +48 47
2 PSV Eindhoven 19 13 4 2 +26 43
3 Vitesse 19 13 2 4 +16 41
4 AZ Alkmaar 19 10 7 2 +16 37
5 Feyenoord 17 10 3 4 +15 33
6 Groningen 18 10 3 5 +6 33
7 Twente 19 8 5 6 +8 29
8 Heerenveen 19 6 7 6 +1 25
9 Utrecht 17 6 7 4 +0 25
10 Heracles 19 6 4 9 -8 22
11 For Sittard 19 6 4 9 -9 22
12 VVV Venlo 19 6 4 9 -14 22
13 Sparta Rotterdam 18 6 3 9 -3 21
14 Zwolle 19 4 9 6 -7 21
15 Waalwijk 19 3 5 11 -17 14
16 Den Haag 19 2 5 12 -28 11
17 Willem II 19 2 4 13 -20 10
18 FC Emmen 19 0 6 13 -30 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Groningen
1–0 D. Burgzorg
R. Pröpper
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Alessio Da Cruz
46′
🔁 M. El Hankouri
↦ Migue Leal
61′
🔁 K. Slor
↦ D. van Kaam
71′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ T. Suslov
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
76′
N. Fadiga 🔁
↦ T. Breukers
80′
M. Knoester 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
81′
83′
🔁 D. Dankerlui
↦ A. da Cruz
83′
🔁 W. Dammers
↦ G. Gudmundsson
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ I. Azzaoui
86′
A. Szőke 🔁
↦ R. Vloet
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
5 M. Rente D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet F
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
18 I. Azzaoui M
11 S. van der Water F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (10)
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
23 N. Fadiga
13 M. Knoester
25 A. Kutucu
17 A. Szőke
8 T. Bijleveld
26 K. Bucker
34 J. Hardeveld
9 S. Bakış
16 M. Brouwer

Coach: F. Wormuth

Groningen

3-4-3
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
32 M. te Wierik D
5 K. Itakura D
17 Migue Leal M
7 R. Lundqvist M
26 D. van Kaam M
21 A. da Cruz F
15 G. Gudmundsson M
9 J. Larsen F
31 T. Suslov F
Bench (9)
11 M. El Hankouri
34 K. Slor
37 T. Dallinga
2 D. Dankerlui
4 W. Dammers
25 J. de Boer
8 S. Schreck
23 P. Bråtveit
33 J. van Kaam

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,35
B
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.