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Super League

Referee: N Verboomen

Panathinaikos

S S T U T

2–1

Full-time

PAOK

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

48%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

22%

59%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

1,8

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

5 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · PAOK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	27	21	5	1	+50	68
2	Aris	26	15	6	5	+18	51
3	AEK	27	15	6	6	+12	51
4	PAOK	27	13	9	5	+23	48
5	Aris Thessalonikis	25	14	6	5	+17	48
6	Panathinaikos	27	13	6	8	+10	45
7	Asteras Tripolis	27	12	9	6	+3	45
8	Giannina	27	7	9	11	-4	30
9	Volos NFC	27	7	9	11	-10	30
10	Atromitos	28	6	11	11	-14	29
11	Lamia	28	6	8	14	-24	26
12	Apollon	27	7	4	16	-12	25
13	Panetolikos	27	4	9	14	-19	21
14	OFI Crete	27	5	4	18	-24	19
15	Larisa	27	3	7	17	-26	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	12	2	0	+32	38
2	PAOK	14	8	6	0	+19	30
3	Asteras Tripolis	13	8	3	2	+5	27
4	Aris	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Aris Thessalonikis	12	7	2	3	+8	23
6	Panathinaikos	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	AEK	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Lamia	14	4	4	6	-7	16
10	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-5	15
11	Giannina	14	3	5	6	-4	14
12	Volos NFC	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Apollon	13	3	1	9	-8	10
14	OFI Crete	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Larisa	13	1	5	7	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	9	3	1	+18	30
2	AEK	13	9	2	2	+8	29
3	Aris Thessalonikis	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Aris	13	7	4	2	+9	25
5	Panathinaikos	14	7	2	5	+4	23
6	PAOK	13	5	3	5	+4	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	Volos NFC	14	4	5	5	-5	17
9	Giannina	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Apollon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
11	Atromitos	14	2	5	7	-13	11
12	OFI Crete	13	3	1	9	-9	10
13	Lamia	14	2	4	8	-17	10
14	Larisa	14	2	2	10	-14	8
15	Panetolikos	13	0	6	7	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.