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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Utrecht

U S S T S

1–3

Full-time

Vitesse

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 22/25 matches

Win Ø 51%

41%

60%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

48%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Vitesse 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	24	19	3	2	+57	60
2	PSV Eindhoven	25	16	6	3	+31	54
3	AZ Alkmaar	26	15	7	4	+23	52
4	Vitesse	25	15	3	7	+15	48
5	Feyenoord	23	13	5	5	+26	44
6	Groningen	25	12	6	7	+5	42
7	Twente	26	9	9	8	+4	36
8	Utrecht	22	9	8	5	+8	35
9	Heracles	26	10	5	11	-9	35
10	For Sittard	26	10	4	12	-7	34
11	Heerenveen	26	8	9	9	-2	33
12	Sparta Rotterdam	25	8	5	12	-5	29
13	Zwolle	25	5	11	9	-7	26
14	Waalwijk	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	VVV Venlo	26	6	4	16	-32	22
16	Willem II	26	5	6	15	-25	21
17	Den Haag	26	2	9	15	-34	15
18	FC Emmen	26	2	8	16	-32	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+26	31
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	1	1	+20	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+11	26
5	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	Feyenoord	10	7	2	1	+20	23
7	Heerenveen	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	Heracles	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Utrecht	12	5	5	2	+4	20
10	Zwolle	12	3	6	3	+1	15
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-1	14
12	For Sittard	13	4	2	7	-6	14
13	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-10	14
14	Waalwijk	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	VVV Venlo	13	3	3	7	-19	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	13	0	6	7	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	2	1	+31	29
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	Twente	13	6	4	3	+5	22
5	Feyenoord	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	For Sittard	13	6	2	5	-1	20
7	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	2	5	-2	17
8	Vitesse	12	5	1	6	+0	16
9	Groningen	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-14	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	13	3	1	9	-13	10
16	Den Haag	13	2	3	8	-21	9
17	Willem II	13	1	4	8	-15	7
18	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.