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Bundesliga

Referee: A Kijas

Sturm Graz

S T T S U

2–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

29 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Austria Vienna 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	21	16	1	4	+42	49
2	SK Rapid	20	12	5	3	+14	41
3	LASK	20	12	3	5	+19	39
4	Sturm Graz	20	10	5	5	+13	35
5	Wolfsberger AC	20	9	3	8	+1	30
6	Hartberg	20	7	7	6	-9	28
7	Tirol	20	7	5	8	+1	26
8	Austria Vienna	20	6	7	7	+2	25
9	St. Polten	20	5	5	10	-9	20
10	Ried	20	4	4	12	-21	16
11	Altach	20	4	3	13	-25	15
12	Admira	21	3	4	14	-28	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	9	0	2	+25	27
2	SK Rapid	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Sturm Graz	10	7	1	2	+11	22
4	LASK	10	7	0	3	+15	21
5	Hartberg	10	4	3	3	-3	15
6	Tirol	10	3	3	4	+1	12
7	Austria Vienna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
8	Ried	10	3	2	5	-8	11
9	Admira	10	3	1	6	-9	10
10	Wolfsberger AC	10	2	3	5	-7	9
11	Altach	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	St. Polten	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Wolfsberger AC	10	7	0	3	+8	21
3	LASK	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	SK Rapid	10	5	3	2	+3	18
5	Austria Vienna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
6	St. Polten	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Tirol	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Sturm Graz	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Hartberg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
10	Altach	10	2	0	8	-17	6
11	Ried	10	1	2	7	-13	5
12	Admira	11	0	3	8	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.