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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Paris SG
S S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Nantes
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 41%
68%
14%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
57%
46%
Both score Ø 47%
25%
68%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

74% Possession 26%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Nantes 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 29 18 9 2 +32 63
2 Paris SG 28 19 3 6 +45 60
3 Lyon 29 17 9 3 +31 60
4 Monaco 29 17 5 7 +18 56
5 Marseille 29 12 9 8 +5 45
6 Lens 29 12 9 8 +3 45
7 Metz 29 11 9 9 +6 42
8 Rennes 29 11 8 10 +2 41
9 Montpellier 29 11 8 10 -3 41
10 Angers 29 11 6 12 -10 39
11 Bordeaux 29 10 6 13 -4 36
12 Nice 29 10 6 13 -5 36
13 Reims 29 8 11 10 -1 35
14 Brest 29 10 4 15 -10 34
15 Strasbourg 29 9 6 14 -6 33
16 St Etienne 29 8 9 12 -12 33
17 Lorient 29 7 7 15 -18 28
18 Nimes 29 7 5 17 -27 26
19 Nantes 28 4 12 12 -16 24
20 Dijon 29 2 9 18 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Nantes
1–0 J. Draxler
42′
45′
🟨 Moses Simon
Half-time 1–0
Rafinha Alcântara 🟨
48′
50′
🟨 Charles Traoré
M. Icardi 🔁
↦ Rafinha
56′
59′
R. Muani 1–1
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
62′
Marco Verratti 🟨
67′
71′
M. Simon 1–2
R. Muani
T. Kehrer 🔁
↦ C. Dagba
74′
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ J. Draxler
74′
83′
🔁 K. Bamba
↦ M. Simon
84′
🔁 R. Emond
↦ R. Muani
84′
🔁 I. Louza
↦ L. Blas
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-2-3-1
1 K. Navas G
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
22 A. Diallo D
31 C. Dagba D
11 Á. Di María M
6 M. Verratti M
15 Danilo Pereira M
23 J. Draxler M
12 Rafinha M
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
9 M. Icardi
8 L. Paredes
4 T. Kehrer
19 Pablo Sarabia
16 Sergio Rico
32 T. Pembele
25 M. Bakker
27 I. Gueye
20 L. Kurzawa

Coach: M. Pochettino

Nantes

3-4-3
1 A. Lafont G
4 N. Pallois D
21 J. Castelletto D
14 C. Traoré M
3 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas F
27 M. Simon F
11 M. Coco M
23 R. Muani F
Bench (9)
32 K. Bamba
28 R. Emond
26 I. Louza
17 A. Limbombe
33 A. Sylla
29 B. Mendy
34 Q. Merlin
7 K. Coulibaly
30 D. Petrić

Coach: R. Domenech

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,18
U
7,13
B ✓
15,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.