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Super League
Referee: N Dabanović
Panathinaikos
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 30%
22%
38%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 9 9 0 0 +13 27
2 Volos NFC 10 7 2 1 +10 23
3 AEK 9 7 0 2 +13 21
4 Olympiakos 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 PAOK 9 4 4 1 +3 16
6 Panetolikos 10 4 2 4 +2 14
7 Aris Thessalonikis 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Aris 9 4 1 4 +0 13
9 Atromitos 9 3 2 4 +0 11
10 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 5 3 -3 8
11 Lamia 8 1 4 3 -5 7
12 Giannina 9 1 3 5 -10 6
13 OFI Crete 8 1 2 5 -7 5
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 3 6 -10 3
15 Ionikos 10 0 3 7 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
25′
🟨 Mateo García
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Oghenekaro Etebo
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Juan Iturbe
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
63′
63′
🔁 A. Gray
↦ J. Iturbe
63′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ Y. Gervinho
Alberto Brignoli 🟨
65′
Rubén Pérez 🟨
65′
Bernard ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
70′
Aitor Cantalapiedra 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
79′
E. Çokaj 🔁
↦ Bernard
80′
80′
🔁 P. Diop
↦ S. MBakata
G. Vagiannidis 🔁
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
83′
84′
🟨 Julián Cuesta
91′
🟨 Moses Odubajo
91′
🔁 M. Peersman
↦ M. García
1–0 A. Šporar
B. Verbič
92′
Andraž Šporar 🟨
93′
95′
ℹ️ Luis Palma
VAR: Card upgrade
96′
🟥 Luis Palma
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
14 F. Sánchez D
23 H. Magnússon D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
3 Juan Carlos D
10 Bernard M
4 Rubén Pérez M
34 S. Palacios M
16 A. Čerin F
7 F. Ioannidis F
77 B. Verbič F
Bench (9)
9 A. Šporar
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
18 E. Çokaj
2 G. Vagiannidis
90 L. Frroku
11 C. Ganea
99 A. Kampetsis
12 Y. Lodygin
44 A. Poungouras

Coach: I. Jovanović

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
3 N. N'Koulou D
4 Fabiano D
18 B. Mazikou D
6 B. Dabo M
13 O. Etebo M
2 S. M'Bakata M
10 M. García M
11 J. Iturbe M
27 Y. Gervinho F
Bench (9)
9 A. Gray
17 L. Palma
24 P. Diop
43 M. Peersman
21 C. Chatziioannou
77 M. Panagidis
25 C. Marmaridis
99 M. Siampanis
19 Manu García

Coach: A. Pardew

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.