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Pro League

Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

Eupen

T T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Mechelen

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 26%

18%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

65%

47%

Both score Ø 46%

59%

33%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,18 xG 0,31

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 16. · Mechelen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	13	1	1	+22	+17.8	40
2	Club Brugge	17	10	4	3	+27	+29.8	34
3	Cercle Brugge	14	10	1	3	+13	+12.1	31
4	Anderlecht	14	8	5	1	+13	+9.2	29
5	Antwerp	15	7	6	2	+21	+14.4	27
6	Genk	14	6	5	3	+16	+18.5	23
7	Gent	13	6	5	2	+7	+7.2	23
8	Mechelen	15	5	4	6	-1	-1.1	19
9	Westerlo	17	5	4	8	-5	-7.3	19
10	Standard	17	4	7	6	-7	-9.1	19
11	RWD Molenbeek	19	4	5	10	-22	-23.5	17
12	St Truiden	14	3	6	5	-8	-5.7	15
13	Charleroi	18	3	5	10	-15	-11.7	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	3	4	9	-10	-5.3	13
15	Kortrijk	19	3	4	12	-28	-19.8	13
16	Eupen	17	3	2	12	-23	-25.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	7	0	0	+15	+10.8	21
2	Cercle Brugge	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.8	19
3	Antwerp	8	5	3	0	+19	+13.4	18
4	Club Brugge	8	5	3	0	+15	+15.4	18
5	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
6	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
7	Mechelen	8	4	3	1	+6	+2.8	15
8	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
9	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
10	Charleroi	9	3	3	3	-3	+0.3	12
11	RWD Molenbeek	9	3	3	3	-5	-7.1	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	+4	-1.9	11
13	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
14	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	-5	-2.0	9
15	Kortrijk	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.6	9
16	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-9	-10.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	8	3	4	1	+4	+2.3	13
4	Cercle Brugge	7	4	0	3	+2	+3.3	12
5	Genk	7	3	2	2	+7	+6.7	11
6	Antwerp	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.1	9
7	Gent	6	2	2	2	+0	+2.3	8
8	Standard	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.8	8
9	Westerlo	9	1	4	4	-5	-4.9	7
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-3	-3.7	6
11	RWD Molenbeek	10	1	2	7	-17	-16.4	5
12	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.9	4
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-14	-14.4	4
14	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	-20	-15.2	4
15	Charleroi	9	0	2	7	-12	-12.0	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.