Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | +34 | +25.2 | 49 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +29 | +24.9 | 48 |
| 3 |
Porto
|
20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | +20 | +13.2 | 45 |
| 4 |
Guimaraes
|
20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +12 | +5.6 | 39 |
| 5 |
Sp Braga
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +16 | +13.7 | 37 |
| 6 |
Moreirense
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +2 | -0.1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Arouca
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | +5 | -0.8 | 25 |
| 8 |
Farense
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | +0 | -5.4 | 25 |
| 9 |
Gil Vicente
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -1 | -6.2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Famalicao
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | -5.1 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portimonense
|
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -18 | -11.9 | 21 |
| 12 |
Boavista
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -10 | -9.8 | 20 |
| 13 |
Casa Pia
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -15 | -8.2 | 19 |
| 14 |
Estoril
|
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -2 | -8.7 | 18 |
| 15 |
Rio Ave
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -9 | +0.7 | 18 |
| 16 |
Estrela
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -12 | -7.7 | 18 |
| 17 |
Chaves
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -26 | -12.2 | 14 |
| 18 |
Vizela
|
20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -20 | -7.1 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Trubin
G
A. Bah
D
António Silva
D
Morato
D
João Neves
M
Florentino
M
Rafa
M
F. Aursnes
M
Coach: R. Schmidt
Gabriel Pereira
D
Rúben Fernandes
D
Leonardo Buta
D
M. Gbane
M
M. Dominguez
M
K. Fujimoto
M
Murilo
M
Félix Correia
F
Coach: Vítor Campelos
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Estrela
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Benfica
Rio Ave
Benfica
Sp Braga
Arouca
Benfica
Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.