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Serie B
Referee: D Di Marco
Ascoli
T U U U S
1–2
Full-time
Sudtirol
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
23%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
64%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
20 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 16. · Sudtirol 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 23 14 6 3 +21 48
2 Cremonese 23 13 5 5 +16 44
3 Como 23 12 6 5 +7 42
4 Venezia 23 12 5 6 +11 41
5 Palermo 23 11 6 6 +12 39
6 Cittadella 23 10 6 7 +2 36
7 Catanzaro 23 10 5 8 +3 35
8 Brescia 23 8 8 7 +2 32
9 Modena 23 8 8 7 -3 32
10 Reggiana 23 6 11 6 -1 29
11 Sampdoria 23 8 5 10 -5 29
12 Cosenza 23 7 7 9 +0 28
13 Pisa 23 6 9 8 -2 27
14 Bari 23 5 12 6 -5 27
15 Sudtirol 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Ascoli 22 5 7 10 -5 22
17 Ternana 23 5 6 12 -6 21
18 FeralpiSalo 23 5 6 12 -12 21
19 Spezia 23 4 9 10 -15 21
20 Lecco 23 5 5 13 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Sudtirol
22′
🟨 Hamza El Kaouakibi
Pablo Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
26′
34′
🟨 Tommaso Arrigoni
Marcello Falzerano 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
S. D'Uffizi 🔁
↦ S. Giovane
46′
50′
F. Tait 0–1
S. Davì
0–2 F. Tait
own goal
56′
58′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ R. Odogwu
58′
🔁 N. Rauti
↦ S. Merkaj
69′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
F. Caligara 🔁
↦ F. Di Tacchio
70′
70′
🔁 R. Kofler
↦ A. Giorgini
D. Quaranta 🔁
↦ R. Celia
77′
S. Väisänen 🔁
↦ V. Mantovani
77′
78′
A. Masiello 0–3
D. Casiraghi
81′
🟨 Fabian Tait
83′
🔁 A. Cagnano
↦ A. Masiello
95′
🟨 Nicola Rauti
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ascoli

3-5-2
2 E. Viviano G
55 G. Bellusci D
33 Eric Botteghin D
3 V. Mantovani D
23 M. Falzerano M
41 L. Valzania M
18 F. Di Tacchio M
8 S. Giovane M
13 R. Celia M
90 Pedro Mendes F
11 J. Streng F
Bench (12)
99 Pablo Rodríguez
15 S. D'Uffizi
10 F. Caligara
14 D. Quaranta
16 S. Väisänen
7 K. Zedadka
32 D. Vásquez
20 T. Milanese
12 L. Bolletta
5 R. Gagliolo
73 P. Masini
94 Y. Maiga

Coach: F. Castori

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
2 F. Scaglia D
55 A. Masiello D
94 H. El Kaouakibi M
4 T. Arrigoni M
21 F. Tait M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davì M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
9 E. Pecorino
23 N. Rauti
11 R. Ciervo
28 R. Kofler
3 A. Cagnano
42 D. Peeters
77 L. Lonardi
26 A. Cisco
15 J. Broh
12 G. Drago
8 A. Mallamo
27 J. Kurtič

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,00
B ✓
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,74
U2,5
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.