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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
0–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
53%
68%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,06 xG 1,49
57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
13 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 8. · Zwolle 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 2 0 +54 +42.5 56
2 Feyenoord 20 14 4 2 +36 +39.7 46
3 Twente 20 12 5 3 +18 +11.3 41
4 AZ Alkmaar 20 10 5 5 +19 +11.8 35
5 Ajax 20 10 5 5 +11 +9.0 35
6 Go Ahead Eagles 19 8 5 6 +6 -6.0 29
7 Nijmegen 19 7 7 5 +6 -9.3 28
8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 7 5 7 +0 -4.3 26
9 For Sittard 20 6 6 8 -12 +1.1 24
10 Zwolle 19 6 5 8 -4 -5.5 23
11 Utrecht 20 5 8 7 -7 -7.8 23
12 Almere City 20 6 5 9 -16 -9.8 23
13 Heerenveen 20 6 4 10 -9 -4.7 22
14 Excelsior 20 4 9 7 -5 -8.8 21
15 Heracles 20 5 4 11 -22 -15.9 19
16 Waalwijk 20 4 3 13 -20 -9.0 15
17 Volendam 20 3 3 14 -26 -16.0 12
18 Vitesse 20 3 3 14 -29 -18.3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle
Mike Eerdhuijzen 🟨
17′
26′
T. Lam 0–1
D. van den Berg
Half-time 0–1
51′
🔁 K. de Rooij
↦ B. van Polen
53′
🟨 Kaj de Rooij
C. Neghli 🔁
↦ K. Saito
61′
64′
🟨 Nick Fichtinger
T. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ C. Brym
67′
70′
D. van den Berg 0–2
R. Meissen 🔁
↦ M. Eerdhuijzen
73′
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ P. Clement
73′
D. van der Kust 🔁
↦ D. Warmerdam
73′
85′
🟨 Odysseus Velanas
85′
🔁 A. El Azzouzi
↦ Y. Namli
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Bakari D
3 B. Vriends D
4 M. Eerdhuijzen D
5 D. Warmerdam D
6 P. Clement M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 S. Mito M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 K. Saito M
9 C. Brym F
Bench (9)
17 C. Neghli
19 T. Lauritsen
14 R. Meissen
18 J. de Guzmán
15 D. van der Kust
30 K. Reitmaier
16 Metinho
12 R. Rosario
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt

Coach: J. Rijsdijk

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar G
2 B. van Polen D
4 S. Kersten D
13 T. Lam D
15 A. MacNulty D
34 N. Fichtinger M
11 D. van den Berg M
7 Y. Namli M
18 O. Velanas M
23 E. Reijnders M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (12)
22 K. de Rooij
6 A. El Azzouzi
40 M. Hauptmeijer
25 K. Vermeer
38 T. Gijselhart
14 A. Vellios
20 L. Czyborra
33 D. van der Haar
3 L. Görlich
8 S. van der Water
50 F. Krastev
17 A. Fontana

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,67
B ✓
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.