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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Paderborn

T S S T U

4–3

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

42%

47%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

74%

63%

Both score Ø 66%

68%

63%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,5

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 8. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	20	11	9	0	+20	42
2	Hamburg	20	11	4	5	+13	37
3	Holstein Kiel	20	11	3	6	+8	36
4	Greuther Furth	20	10	5	5	+8	35
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	4	6	+15	31
6	Hannover	19	7	7	5	+10	28
7	Karlsruhe	20	7	7	6	+2	28
8	Paderborn	19	8	4	7	-1	28
9	Nurnberg	20	8	4	8	-9	28
10	Hertha	20	7	5	8	+4	26
11	Wehen	20	7	5	8	-2	26
12	Elversberg	19	7	4	8	-4	25
13	Magdeburg	20	6	6	8	+2	24
14	Schalke 04	20	7	2	11	-8	23
15	Kaiserslautern	19	6	3	10	-7	21
16	Hansa Rostock	19	6	2	11	-13	20
17	Braunschweig	20	6	2	12	-14	20
18	Osnabruck	20	1	8	11	-24	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	11	6	5	0	+14	23
2	Greuther Furth	10	7	2	1	+13	23
3	Hamburg	9	7	0	2	+11	21
4	Karlsruhe	11	5	4	2	+5	19
5	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+14	18
6	Schalke 04	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Kaiserslautern	10	5	1	4	+3	16
8	Holstein Kiel	10	5	1	4	+2	16
9	Hertha	10	4	3	3	+11	15
10	Magdeburg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Wehen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
12	Nurnberg	10	4	3	3	-1	15
13	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+3	14
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	+1	14
15	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	-3	14
16	Hansa Rostock	10	4	1	5	-3	13
17	Elversberg	9	3	2	4	-2	11
18	Osnabruck	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	6	2	2	+6	20
2	St Pauli	9	5	4	0	+6	19
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	5	2	2	+14	17
4	Hamburg	11	4	4	3	+2	16
5	Elversberg	10	4	2	4	-2	14
6	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-8	13
8	Greuther Furth	10	3	3	4	-5	12
9	Wehen	11	3	2	6	-3	11
10	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-7	11
11	Hannover	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Magdeburg	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Hansa Rostock	9	2	1	6	-10	7
15	Schalke 04	10	2	1	7	-12	7
16	Braunschweig	10	2	0	8	-11	6
17	Kaiserslautern	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Osnabruck	10	0	4	6	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.