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Super League
Referee: R Obrenović
AEK
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
PAOK
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Super League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 60%
57%
63%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
29%
38%
Both score Ø 26%
14%
38%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 5. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
2 Aris 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 PAOK 8 5 1 2 +7 16
4 Olympiakos 9 4 3 2 +6 15
5 AEK 7 4 2 1 +9 14
6 Panetolikos 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
8 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Asteras Tripolis 9 2 5 2 +1 11
10 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
11 Panserraikos 9 2 1 6 -7 7
12 Volos NFC 8 2 1 5 -8 7
13 Lamia 9 1 3 5 -9 6
14 Levadeiakos 8 0 5 3 -6 5
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U ✓
3,33
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.