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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

PAOK

S T S T T

2–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

42%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · Asteras Tripolis 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	26	17	6	3	+27	57
2	AEK	25	17	4	4	+33	55
3	Panathinaikos	27	14	8	5	+7	50
4	PAOK	26	13	5	8	+23	44
5	OFI Crete	27	12	6	9	+3	42
6	Aris Thessalonikis	25	12	5	8	+3	41
7	Aris	25	12	5	8	+3	41
8	Asteras Tripolis	26	11	6	9	+2	39
9	Atromitos	27	10	5	12	-1	35
10	Panetolikos	27	10	5	12	-2	35
11	Levadeiakos	27	7	9	11	-3	30
12	Volos NFC	27	7	5	15	-20	26
13	Panserraikos	27	7	4	16	-20	25
14	Athens Kallithea	27	3	9	15	-20	18
15	Lamia	27	2	6	19	-35	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	13	10	3	0	+27	33
2	Olympiakos	13	9	4	0	+14	31
3	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+10	31
4	Aris Thessalonikis	12	8	2	2	+9	26
5	Aris	12	8	2	2	+9	26
6	Asteras Tripolis	13	7	1	5	+3	22
7	OFI Crete	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Panetolikos	13	6	1	6	+2	19
9	PAOK	13	5	2	6	+8	17
10	Levadeiakos	14	4	4	6	-1	16
11	Panserraikos	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Atromitos	13	3	3	7	-4	12
13	Athens Kallithea	13	2	4	7	-9	10
14	Volos NFC	14	1	4	9	-13	7
15	Lamia	13	1	3	9	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	13	8	3	2	+15	27
2	Olympiakos	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	Atromitos	14	7	2	5	+3	23
4	AEK	12	7	1	4	+6	22
5	OFI Crete	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Panathinaikos	13	5	4	4	-3	19
7	Volos NFC	13	6	1	6	-7	19
8	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	16
10	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Aris	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Levadeiakos	13	3	5	5	-2	14
13	Panserraikos	13	3	0	10	-14	9
14	Athens Kallithea	14	1	5	8	-11	8
15	Lamia	14	1	3	10	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.