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Super League
Referee: K Tsetsilas
AEK
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Atromitos
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Super League · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 49%
65%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
43%
54%
Both score Ø 44%
30%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

78% Possession 22%
22 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Atromitos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 24 15 6 3 +22 51
2 AEK 23 15 4 4 +29 49
3 Panathinaikos 24 12 8 4 +6 44
4 PAOK 24 12 5 7 +17 41
5 Asteras Tripolis 25 11 6 8 +5 39
6 Aris Thessalonikis 22 11 4 7 +5 37
7 Aris 22 11 4 7 +5 37
8 OFI Crete 25 10 6 9 -2 36
9 Panetolikos 23 9 5 9 +0 32
10 Atromitos 24 8 5 11 -2 29
11 Volos NFC 23 7 3 13 -18 24
12 Panserraikos 24 6 4 14 -16 22
13 Levadeiakos 23 4 9 10 -9 21
14 Athens Kallithea 24 3 9 12 -15 18
15 Lamia 24 1 6 17 -27 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Atromitos
10′
G. Tzovaras 0–1
N. Athanasiou
11′
ℹ️ Georgios Tzovaras
VAR: Goal confirmed
22′
🟨 Athanasios Karamanis
29′
🟨 Denzel Jubitana
1–1 N. Eliasson
R. Ljubičić
32′
Half-time 1–1
Orbelín Pineda 🟨
50′
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ E. Hajisafi
62′
A. Koïta 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
62′
64′
🔁 P. Michorl
↦ T. Karamanis
64′
🔁 D. Kaloskamis
↦ G. Tzovaras
Jens Jønsson 🟨
71′
S. Tsiloulis 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
73′
77′
🔁 D. Tsakmakis
↦ D. Jubitana
Erik Lamela 🟨
78′
80′
🟨 Lefteris Choutesiotis
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ É. Lamela
80′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ R. Ljubičić
81′
82′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ M. Baku
2–1 P. Mantalos
A. Koïta
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
37 R. Pereyra M
19 N. Eliasson M
23 R. Ljubičić M
13 O. Pineda M
9 É. Lamela F
Bench (9)
8 M. Gaćinović
11 A. Koïta
16 S. Tsiloulis
22 Paolo Fernandes
20 P. Mantalos
3 S. Pilios
98 D. Theodoridis
24 G. Mitoglou
91 A. Brignoli

Coach: M. Almeyda

Atromitos

5-4-1
1 L. Choutesiotis G
17 Quini D
31 F. Brorsson D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
12 M. Mountes D
3 N. Athanasiou D
32 M. Baku M
66 T. Karamanis M
5 T. Tsingaras M
99 G. Tzovaras
11 D. Jubitana F
Bench (9)
8 P. Michorl
14 D. Kaloskamis
44 D. Tsakmakis
9 T. van Weert
30 B. Palmezano
19 P. Tsantilas
55 A. Koşelev
10 Carlitos
27 K. Pomonis

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,55
B
12,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Tsetsilas · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.