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Super League
PAOK
S T S U S
3–1
Full-time
Aris
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 12 1 1 +24 37
2 AEK 13 10 1 2 +7 31
3 PAOK 12 9 2 1 +17 29
4 Levadeiakos 14 6 5 3 +14 23
5 Volos NFC 14 7 1 6 -2 22
6 Panathinaikos 13 5 5 3 +5 20
7 Kifisia 14 4 4 6 -2 16
8 Aris Thessalonikis 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Aris 12 4 4 4 -2 16
10 Panetolikos 13 4 3 6 -3 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 14 2 7 5 -3 13
12 OFI Crete 13 4 0 9 -11 12
13 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -6 9
14 Larisa 14 1 5 8 -12 8
15 Panserraikos 13 1 3 9 -24 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
3,96
B
6,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.