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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
PAOK
T T S U U
1–2
Full-time
OFI Crete
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
44%
78%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 7
14 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · OFI Crete 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 9 5 3 1 +6 18
2 Aris 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 PAOK 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 AEK 9 4 3 2 +8 15
5 Olympiakos 10 4 3 3 +5 15
6 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 5 2 +2 14
8 Panathinaikos 10 3 5 2 +1 14
9 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
10 Panserraikos 10 3 1 6 -6 10
11 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
12 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK OFI Crete
24′
🟨 Nikolaos Marinakis
1–0 K. Despodov
35′
36′
🟨 Filip Bainović
Giannis Konstantelias 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
Tarik Tissoudali ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
Jonny Otto 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 Borja González
↦ N. Marinakis
63′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ G. Apostolakis
63′
🔁 M. Bakić
↦ F. Bainovič
Taison 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
67′
Brandon Thomas 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
67′
74′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ A. Jung
M. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
76′
A. Živković 🔁
↦ K. Despodov
76′
77′
T. Fountas 1–1
E. Salcedo
Jonathan Gómez 🟨
78′
79′
E. Salcedo 1–2
A. Baba 🔁
↦ J. Gómez
80′
87′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ T. Fountas
Mady Camara 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Vasilis Lampropoulos
98′
🟨 Marko Bakić
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
6 D. Lovren D
15 O. Colley D
18 J. Gómez D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
7 G. Konstantelias M
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (9)
11 Taison
71 Brandon Thomas
2 M. Camara
14 A. Živković
21 A. Baba
8 T. Bakayoko
1 J. Pavlenka
20 Vieirinha
16 T. Kędziora

Coach: R. Lucescu

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
4 N. Marinakis D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
22 G. Christopoulos D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
6 Z. Karachalios M
25 F. Bainovič M
27 L. Shengelia M
11 T. Fountas M
45 G. Apostolakis M
29 A. Jung F
Bench (9)
17 Borja González
7 Adrián Riera
88 M. Bakić
9 E. Salcedo
10 J. Neira
30 J. Silva
99 L. Abanda
1 D. Naumov
80 T. Koutentakis

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,29
U
5,42
B ✓
8,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.