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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
S S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 58%
29%
86%
Points per game
1,1
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,9
Scored
1,4
3,1
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livingston 7. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +17 19
2 Rangers 7 6 0 1 +16 18
3 Motherwell 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Aberdeen 8 3 3 2 +0 12
5 Ross County 8 3 3 2 -1 12
6 Kilmarnock 8 3 2 3 -1 11
7 Livingston 7 2 2 3 -1 8
8 Hamilton 7 2 2 3 -3 8
9 Hearts 8 1 3 4 -4 6
10 Hibernian 8 1 3 4 -10 6
11 St Mirren 8 1 2 5 -5 5
12 ST Johnstone 8 0 4 4 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Celtic
26′
🟥 Ryan Christie
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Robinson
R. Crawford
47′
Scott Robinson 🟨
48′
54′
🔁 V. Bayo
↦ J. Forrest
73′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
2–0 L. Dykes
M. Šarkić
73′
74′
🔁 O. Ntcham
↦ S. Brown
S. Lawson 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
76′
H. Odofin 🔁
↦ S. Lawless
81′
L. Miller 🔁
↦ L. Dykes
87′
Ricky Lamie 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Christopher Jullien
Keaghan Jacobs 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Kristoffer Ajer
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
30 M. Šarkić G
2 N. Devlin M
5 R. Lamie D
27 J. Guthrie D
21 J. McMillan D
17 S. Robinson M
7 K. Jacobs M
6 M. Bartley M
16 R. Crawford M
11 S. Lawless M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
33 S. Lawson
14 H. Odofin
18 L. Miller
15 C. Pepe
10 C. Sibbald
1 R. Stewart
20 A. Souda

Coach: G. Holt

Celtic

4-2-3-1
67 F. Forster G
2 C. Jullien D
13 M. Bauer M
23 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
35 K. Ajer D
8 S. Brown M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
17 R. Christie M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
10 V. Bayo
15 J. Hayes
21 O. Ntcham
11 S. Sinclair
33 H. Elhamed
1 C. Gordon
6 N. Bitton

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
11,01
U
5,84
B
1,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.