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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
St Mirren
T T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Dundee
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 20%
26%
14%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
40%
51%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Dundee 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 28 5 3 +64 89
2 Rangers 35 24 8 3 +42 80
3 Hearts 36 17 10 9 +13 61
4 Livingston 36 12 9 15 -6 45
5 Dundee United 35 11 11 13 -6 44
6 Hibernian 35 10 11 14 -6 41
7 Ross County 35 10 11 14 -9 41
8 Motherwell 35 10 10 15 -15 40
9 Aberdeen 35 10 9 16 -4 39
10 St Mirren 35 9 12 14 -20 39
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 11 18 -24 32
12 Dundee 35 5 11 19 -29 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Dundee
1–0 A. Greive
4′
Richard Tait 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
Greg Kiltie 🟨
50′
2–0 C. Main
M. Fraser
55′
61′
🔁 J. Mulligan
↦ C. Adam
61′
🔁 P. McMullan
↦ L. McCowan
Ethan Erhahon 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 S. Byrne
↦ P. McGowan
68′
🟨 Ryan Sweeney
74′
🔁 M. Anderson
↦ Z. Rudden
A. Power 🔁
↦ E. Erhahon
77′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
82′
Alexander Gogić 🟨
89′
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ A. Greive
93′
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ C. Main
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-1-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
13 A. Gogić M
11 G. Kiltie F
16 E. Erhahon M
10 C. Main F
21 A. Greive F
Bench (6)
6 A. Power
8 R. Flynn
12 J. Henderson
9 E. Brophy
46 A. Gilmartin
26 D. Lyness

Coach: S. Robinson

Dundee

4-2-3-1
30 H. Sharp G
6 J. McGhee D
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
3 J. Marshall D
26 C. Adam M
10 P. McGowan M
17 L. McCowan M
77 N. McGinn M
9 D. Mullen F
20 Z. Rudden M
Bench (9)
15 J. Mulligan
18 P. McMullan
8 S. Byrne
24 M. Anderson
4 L. Fontaine
41 T. Welsh
22 V. Daley-Campbell
19 F. Robertson
12 J. Chapman

Coach: J. McPake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,19
B
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.