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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Twente
S U S S U
1–2
Full-time
For Sittard
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
26%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
61%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

72% Possession 28%
22 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 4. · For Sittard 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 3 3 +74 78
2 PSV Eindhoven 31 24 2 5 +42 74
3 Feyenoord 31 21 4 6 +42 67
4 Twente 31 18 8 5 +15 62
5 AZ Alkmaar 27 15 4 8 +17 49
6 Utrecht 29 12 8 9 +9 44
7 Vitesse 27 13 3 11 -8 42
8 Groningen 31 9 9 13 -9 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 31 10 6 15 -10 36
10 Heerenveen 29 9 8 12 -8 35
11 Nijmegen 31 9 8 14 -13 35
12 Cambuur 32 10 5 17 -18 35
13 Heracles 31 9 7 15 -10 34
14 Waalwijk 32 7 11 14 -15 32
15 For Sittard 31 8 5 18 -32 29
16 Zwolle 31 7 5 19 -23 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 31 5 11 15 -23 26
18 Willem II 31 7 5 19 -30 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente For Sittard
Václav Černý 🟨
-5′
5′
🟨 Zian Flemming
22′
🟨 George Cox
25′
Z. Flemming 0–1
P. Gladon
1–1 R. van Wolfswinkel
D. Limnios
37′
Joshua Brenet 🟨
40′
42′
Z. Flemming 1–2
44′
🟨 Paul Gladon
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 Lisandro Semedo
↦ T. Noslin
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ J. Bosch
68′
73′
🟨 Deroy Duarte
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ V. Černý
75′
75′
🔁 A. Ferati
↦ G. Cox
75′
🔁 C. Benschop
↦ P. Gladon
78′
🟨 Andreas Samaris
Robin Pröpper 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Mats Seuntjens
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
20 J. Brenet D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
18 D. Limnios M
14 M. Vlap M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 V. Černý M
Bench (10)
27 M. Ugalde
10 V. Misidjan
2 G. Troupée
35 M. Hilgers
26 D. Cleonise
40 C. Staring
38 M. Bruns
22 J. de Lange
30 E. van der Gouw
15 K. Pierie

Coach: R. Jans

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
1 Y. van Osch G
12 Ivo Pinto D
2 M. Angha D
35 G. Cox D
22 A. Samaris D
10 M. Seuntjens M
14 T. Tekie M
6 Deroy Duarte M
11 P. Gladon F
8 Z. Flemming M
77 T. Noslin M
Bench (12)
7 Lisandro Semedo
19 A. Ferati
9 C. Benschop
25 M. Tirpan
17 J. Botaka
29 R. Musaba
4 R. Janssen
18 N. Lonwijk
32 F. Dornebusch
34 M. Verrips
23 B. Rienstra
24 S. Baghdadi

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,41
U
4,79
B ✓
7,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.