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Pro League

Referee: A Boucaut

Gent

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Mechelen

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 50%

53%

47%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

59%

Both score Ø 52%

44%

59%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

20 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 5. · Mechelen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	32	24	5	3	+56	77
2	Club Brugge	32	22	6	4	+38	72
3	Anderlecht	32	19	9	4	+46	66
4	Antwerp	32	19	6	7	+21	63
5	Gent	32	17	8	7	+27	59
6	Genk	33	17	6	10	+28	57
7	St Truiden	36	16	6	14	+2	54
8	Charleroi	33	15	8	10	+11	53
9	Mechelen	32	15	5	12	-2	50
10	Cercle Brugge	36	13	9	14	+4	48
11	Kortrijk	36	11	10	15	-1	43
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	10	12	14	-13	42
13	Oostende	36	11	8	17	-26	41
14	Standard	36	10	9	17	-19	39
15	Waregem	36	9	8	19	-30	35
16	Eupen	36	8	9	19	-25	33
17	Seraing United	36	9	5	22	-37	32
18	Seraing	34	8	4	22	-38	28
19	Beerschot VA	36	5	4	27	-41	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	St. Gilloise	16	11	3	2	+23	36
3	Anderlecht	16	10	5	1	+26	35
4	Mechelen	16	11	2	3	+14	35
5	Genk	16	10	3	3	+24	33
6	Gent	16	10	3	3	+22	33
7	Antwerp	16	9	4	3	+12	31
8	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	+5	27
9	Charleroi	17	7	5	5	+8	26
10	Cercle Brugge	18	7	4	7	+5	25
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	7	4	7	-2	25
12	Kortrijk	18	6	4	8	+1	22
13	Waregem	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Seraing United	18	5	4	9	-14	19
15	Oostende	18	5	4	9	-18	19
16	Seraing	17	5	3	9	-14	18
17	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Beerschot VA	18	5	1	12	-14	16
19	Standard	18	3	5	10	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	16	13	2	1	+33	41
2	Club Brugge	16	11	2	3	+19	35
3	Antwerp	16	10	2	4	+9	32
4	Anderlecht	16	9	4	3	+20	31
5	Charleroi	16	8	3	5	+3	27
6	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	-3	27
7	Gent	16	7	5	4	+5	26
8	Standard	18	7	4	7	-7	25
9	Genk	17	7	3	7	+4	24
10	Cercle Brugge	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Oostende	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Kortrijk	18	5	6	7	-2	21
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	8	7	-11	17
14	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Mechelen	16	4	3	9	-16	15
16	Waregem	18	3	4	11	-22	13
17	Seraing United	18	4	1	13	-23	13
18	Seraing	17	3	1	13	-24	10
19	Beerschot VA	18	0	3	15	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.