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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
ST Johnstone
S T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Livingston
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 26%
19%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
42%
48%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · Livingston 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 24 4 3 +51 76
2 Rangers 31 22 7 2 +37 73
3 Hearts 31 15 8 8 +13 53
4 Dundee United 31 10 9 12 -6 39
5 Hibernian 31 9 10 12 -4 37
6 Livingston 31 10 7 14 -7 37
7 Ross County 31 9 9 13 -8 36
8 Motherwell 31 9 9 13 -14 36
9 St Mirren 31 8 12 11 -14 36
10 Aberdeen 31 9 8 14 -3 35
11 ST Johnstone 31 6 9 16 -17 27
12 Dundee 31 5 8 18 -28 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Livingston
3′
🟨 Jack Fitzwater
1–0 C. Hendry
3′
Callum Hendry 🟨
13′
C. Booth 🔁
↦ T. Gallacher
36′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Scott Pitman
62′
🟨 James Penrice
66′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ S. Oméonga
S. May 🔁
↦ N. Çiftçi
74′
74′
🔁 O. Bailey
↦ S. Soto
80′
🔁 A. Lewis
↦ J. Penrice
80′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ S. Pittman
Murray Davidson 🟨
81′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
88′
J. Butterfield 🔁
↦ A. Crawford
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
5 D. Cleary D
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
3 T. Gallacher M
8 M. Davidson M
21 A. Crawford F
29 M. Hallberg M
23 N. Çiftçi F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
24 C. Booth
7 S. May
18 C. MacPherson
34 J. Butterfield
14 G. Middleton
12 E. Parish
16 J. Mahon
17 T. Bair
27 T. Sang

Coach: C. Davidson

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
17 A. Forrest F
33 S. Oméonga M
19 J. Nouble F
12 S. Soto F
Bench (9)
24 S. Kelly
14 O. Bailey
16 A. Lewis
22 A. Shinnie
15 M. Boyes
11 C. Montaño
10 C. Sibbald
21 J. McMillan
31 I. Konovalov

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,69
U
2,90
B
2,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,93
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.