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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Hearts

U S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Dundee United

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 34%

46%

22%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

63%

52%

Both score Ø 47%

54%

39%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hearts 3. · Dundee United 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	24	22	1	1	+57	67
2	Rangers	24	18	4	2	+34	58
3	Hearts	24	11	6	7	+8	39
4	St Mirren	23	9	6	8	-6	33
5	Livingston	23	9	5	9	-9	32
6	Hibernian	24	9	4	11	-2	31
7	Aberdeen	24	9	2	13	-10	29
8	ST Johnstone	24	8	3	13	-10	27
9	Kilmarnock	24	6	5	13	-21	23
10	Ross County	24	5	6	13	-17	21
11	Motherwell	23	5	5	13	-9	20
12	Dundee United	23	5	5	13	-15	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	12	0	0	+30	36
2	Rangers	12	10	2	0	+25	32
3	Hearts	12	8	1	3	+9	25
4	St Mirren	12	7	4	1	+8	25
5	Aberdeen	12	7	1	4	+14	22
6	Hibernian	12	6	3	3	+10	21
7	Kilmarnock	12	6	3	3	-1	21
8	Livingston	11	5	3	3	+0	18
9	Dundee United	12	4	1	7	-7	13
10	Ross County	13	3	3	7	-9	12
11	ST Johnstone	11	3	2	6	-2	11
12	Motherwell	11	1	3	7	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	10	1	1	+27	31
2	Rangers	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	ST Johnstone	13	5	1	7	-8	16
4	Motherwell	12	4	2	6	+0	14
5	Hearts	12	3	5	4	-1	14
6	Livingston	12	4	2	6	-9	14
7	Hibernian	12	3	1	8	-12	10
8	Ross County	11	2	3	6	-8	9
9	St Mirren	11	2	2	7	-14	8
10	Dundee United	11	1	4	6	-8	7
11	Aberdeen	12	2	1	9	-24	7
12	Kilmarnock	12	0	2	10	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.