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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Kilmarnock
S U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Dundee United
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
22%
23%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 42%
43%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
27 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 12. · Dundee United 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 21 1 1 +54 64
2 Rangers 23 17 4 2 +31 55
3 Hearts 23 11 6 6 +11 39
4 Livingston 22 9 5 8 -6 32
5 Hibernian 24 9 4 11 -2 31
6 St Mirren 22 8 6 8 -8 30
7 Aberdeen 23 9 2 12 -8 29
8 ST Johnstone 23 7 3 13 -12 24
9 Ross County 24 5 6 13 -17 21
10 Motherwell 22 5 5 12 -7 20
11 Dundee United 22 5 5 12 -14 20
12 Kilmarnock 23 5 5 13 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -22 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 4–0 30. Jul -22 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1 21. Apr -21 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–0 27. Feb -21 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1 23. Dec -20 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee United
Danny Armstrong 🟨
23′
1–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
L. Chambers
35′
R. Alebiosu 🔁
↦ A. Taylor
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Glenn Middleton
63′
🔁 C. Sibbald
↦ A. Djoum
68′
🔁 P. Pawlett
↦ J. McGrath
79′
🔁 I. Niskanen
↦ L. Smith
79′
🔁 R. MacLeod
↦ G. Middleton
A. Power 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
87′
J. Sanders 🔁
↦ L. Chambers
89′
91′
🟨 Ross Graham
92′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
24 L. Chambers D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
31 L. Polworth M
7 R. McKenzie M
26 C. Doidge F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
25 R. Alebiosu
4 A. Power
14 J. Sanders
21 K. McInroy
29 B. Wales
1 Z. Hemming
18 C. Waters
16 S. Robinson
8 B. Alston

Coach: D. McInnes

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
12 R. Edwards D
4 C. Mulgrew D
6 R. Graham D
2 L. Smith M
10 A. Djoum M
19 D. Levitt M
3 S. McMann M
18 J. McGrath F
15 G. Middleton F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
14 C. Sibbald
8 P. Pawlett
7 I. Niskanen
44 R. MacLeod
22 K. Freeman
20 S. Anaku
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
31 J. Newman
27 L. Ayina

Coach: L. Fox

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
🔒
U
3,23
🔒
B
3,03
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,13
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.