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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Livingston
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 8. · Motherwell 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 31 3 2 +77 96
2 Rangers 36 28 4 4 +53 88
3 Aberdeen 36 17 3 16 -2 54
4 Hearts 36 15 7 14 +6 52
5 Hibernian 36 14 6 16 -4 48
6 Motherwell 36 13 7 16 +1 46
7 St Mirren 36 12 10 14 -12 46
8 Livingston 36 13 6 17 -22 45
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 7 20 -30 34
12 Dundee United 36 8 7 21 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Motherwell
3′
K. van Veen 0–1
M. Mandron
22′
🔁 B. Mugabi
↦ C. Butcher
Shamal George 🟥
43′
Shamal George ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
43′
J. Hamilton 🔁
↦ J. Brandon
44′
Half-time 0–1
J. Holt 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
46′
57′
🟨 Sean Goss
Cristian Montano 🟨
69′
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
76′
77′
🔁 J. Obika
↦ M. Mandron
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
81′
1–1 A. Shinnie
N. Devlin
83′
85′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ S. ODonnell
86′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ D. Cornelius
86′
🔁 J. Aitchison
↦ S. Goss
Nicky Devlin 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
23 L. de Lucas D
4 T. Parkes D
11 C. Montaño D
24 S. Kelly M
33 S. Oméonga M
12 J. Brandon M
17 S. Kelly M
19 J. Nouble M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (8)
32 J. Hamilton
18 J. Holt
22 A. Shinnie
29 J. Penrice
28 K. Guthrie
8 S. Pittman
7 D. Bahamboula
16 S. Bradley

Coach: D. Martindale

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
21 M. Mandron F
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
5 B. Mugabi
99 J. Obika
22 M. Johnston
38 L. Miller
15 J. Aitchison
17 S. McKinstry
49 M. Ferrie
26 R. Tierney
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,99
U ✓
3,17
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.