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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Dundee United
U U T S S
2–0
Full-time
Livingston
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
22%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 10. · Livingston 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 32 30 1 1 +78 91
2 Rangers 32 25 4 3 +49 79
3 Aberdeen 32 16 2 14 -2 50
4 Hearts 33 14 6 13 +7 48
5 St Mirren 32 12 8 12 -9 44
6 Hibernian 32 13 4 15 -3 43
7 Livingston 32 12 6 14 -17 42
8 Motherwell 32 10 6 16 -4 36
9 ST Johnstone 32 9 5 18 -20 32
10 Dundee United 32 7 7 18 -24 28
11 Kilmarnock 32 7 7 18 -31 28
12 Ross County 33 7 6 20 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Livingston
1–0 J. McGrath
I. Harkes
17′
Craig Sibbald 🟨
24′
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
31′
Ian Harkes 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
Loick Ayina 🟨
58′
66′
🟨 Andrew Shinnie
72′
🔁 J. Penrice
↦ S. Bradley
73′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ S. Kelly
77′
🔁 S. Pittman
↦ A. Shinnie
2–0 S. Fletcher
K. Fotheringham
85′
87′
🟨 James Penrice
R. Edwards 🔁
↦ K. Fotheringham
88′
R. MacLeod 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-1-4-1
1 M. Birighitti G
22 K. Freeman D
27 L. Ayina D
4 C. Mulgrew D
3 S. McMann D
14 C. Sibbald M
7 I. Niskanen M
23 I. Harkes M
18 J. McGrath M
16 A. Behich M
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
25 K. Fotheringham
12 R. Edwards
44 R. MacLeod
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
20 S. Anaku
10 A. Djoum
6 R. Graham
39 M. Thomson
31 J. Newman

Coach: J. Goodwin

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
11 C. Montaño D
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
16 S. Bradley M
17 S. Kelly M
19 J. Nouble M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
29 J. Penrice
28 K. Guthrie
8 S. Pittman
32 J. Hamilton
7 D. Bahamboula
24 S. Kelly
4 T. Parkes
23 L. de Lucas
12 J. Brandon

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,23
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.