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Coppa Italia

Referee: M Irrati

Fiorentina

T T S S U

1–2

Full-time

Inter

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 2. · Inter 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	Fiorentina	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Inter	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Torino	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Bari	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Spezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Parma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Modena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Monza	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Fiorentina	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Bari	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	3	1	2	0	+1	5
2	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Bari	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Modena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.