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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Motherwell
T T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Livingston
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Livingston 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Hearts 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Motherwell 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Livingston 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Hibernian 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 Aberdeen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
8 St Mirren 3 1 0 2 -3 3
9 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -4 3
10 Dundee United 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Kilmarnock 3 0 1 2 -7 1
12 Ross County 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Livingston
Half-time 0–0
J. Efford 🔁
↦ C. Shields
54′
J. Morris 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
54′
Josh Morris 🟨
61′
65′
🔁 D. Bahamboula
↦ S. Kelly
1–0 K. van Veen
68′
69′
🔁 Esmael Gonçalves
↦ A. Shinnie
74′
🟨 Dylan Bahamboula
77′
🟨 Dylan Bahamboula
77′
🟥 Dylan Bahamboula
81′
🔁 J. Mullin
↦ J. Holt
B. Maguire 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
15 S. Johansen D
4 R. Lamie D
2 S. O'Donnell D
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
29 C. Shields F
9 K. van Veen F
7 B. Spittal F
Bench (9)
11 J. Efford
23 J. Morris
6 B. Maguire
13 A. Oxborough
26 R. Tierney
28 R. Mahon
22 M. Johnston
5 B. Mugabi
17 S. McKinstry

Coach: S. Hammell

Livingston

4-3-2-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 A. Obileye D
11 C. Montaño D
33 S. Oméonga M
18 J. Holt M
24 S. Kelly M
22 A. Shinnie M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
7 D. Bahamboula
10 Esmael Gonçalves
14 J. Mullin
20 S. Bitsindou
29 J. Penrice
3 J. Longridge
31 I. Konovalov
12 J. Brandon
25 P. Cancar

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
3,12
B
3,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.