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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Kilmarnock
S T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 30%
24%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Livingston 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 31 2 2 +77 95
2 Rangers 35 27 4 4 +51 85
3 Aberdeen 34 17 2 15 -1 53
4 Hearts 34 14 6 14 +5 48
5 Hibernian 34 14 5 15 -2 47
6 St Mirren 34 12 8 14 -12 44
7 Livingston 34 12 6 16 -21 42
8 Motherwell 34 11 7 16 -2 40
9 ST Johnstone 34 10 6 18 -19 36
10 Dundee United 34 8 7 19 -23 31
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 7 19 -31 31
12 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -22 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -23 Livingston – Kilmarnock 3–1 4. Nov -22 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–3 17. Sep -22 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 27. Jan -21 Livingston – Kilmarnock 2–0 26. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Livingston 1–2

Match report

Kilmarnock Livingston
Joe Wright 🟨
11′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Vassell ⚽
C. Doidge
48′
49′
🟨 Sean Kelly
Christian Doidge ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
64′
🟨 Jason Holt
2–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
64′
65′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ J. Holt
77′
🔁 S. Bradley
↦ S. Kelly
Jordan Jones 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
82′
J. Sanders 🔁
↦ J. Dorsett
82′
82′
🔁 J. Penrice
↦ N. Devlin
82′
🔁 T. Parkes
↦ C. Montaño
B. Wales 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
88′
89′
🟨 Luiyi de Lucas
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
3 J. Dorsett D
24 L. Chambers D
11 D. Armstrong M
34 D. Watson M
22 L. Donnelly M
7 R. McKenzie M
26 C. Doidge F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
10 Jordan Jones
14 J. Sanders
29 B. Wales
17 B. Lyons
1 Z. Hemming
4 A. Power
8 B. Alston
16 S. Robinson
31 L. Polworth

Coach: D. McInnes

Livingston

4-3-2-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
23 L. de Lucas D
11 C. Montaño D
24 S. Kelly M
18 J. Holt M
22 A. Shinnie M
8 S. Pittman M
17 S. Kelly M
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
9 B. Anderson
16 S. Bradley
29 J. Penrice
4 T. Parkes
15 M. Boyes
12 J. Brandon
33 S. Oméonga
7 D. Bahamboula
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
🔒
U
3,44
🔒
B
3,64
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,08
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.