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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Dundee United
S S T T T
0–3
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 12. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 31 3 2 +77 96
2 Rangers 36 28 4 4 +53 88
3 Aberdeen 36 17 3 16 -2 54
4 Hearts 36 15 7 14 +6 52
5 Hibernian 36 14 6 16 -4 48
6 Motherwell 36 13 7 16 +1 46
7 St Mirren 36 12 10 14 -12 46
8 Livingston 36 13 6 17 -22 45
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 7 20 -30 34
12 Dundee United 36 8 7 21 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -23 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 9. Nov -22 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 4–0 30. Jul -22 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1 21. Apr -21 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–0 27. Feb -21 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1

Match report

Dundee United Kilmarnock
14′
⚽ K. Vassell 0–1
26′
🟨 Bradley Lyons
44′
⚽ K. Vassell 0–2
C. Doidge
Half-time 0–2
D. Levitt 🔁
↦ I. Harkes
46′
G. Middleton 🔁
↦ I. Niskanen
46′
Charlie Mulgrew 🟨
64′
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ S. McMann
65′
R. MacLeod 🔁
↦ P. Pawlett
65′
66′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ K. Vassell
71′
🔁 J. Sanders
↦ L. Polworth
71′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ D. Armstrong
M. Thomson 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
77′
83′
⚽ I. Cameron 0–3
R. McKenzie
86′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ C. Doidge
87′
🔁 K. McInroy
↦ B. Lyons
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-5-2
31 J. Newman G
27 L. Ayina D
4 C. Mulgrew D
6 R. Graham D
7 I. Niskanen M
14 C. Sibbald M
23 I. Harkes M
18 J. McGrath M
3 S. McMann M
9 S. Fletcher F
8 P. Pawlett F
Bench (9)
19 D. Levitt
15 G. Middleton
25 K. Fotheringham
44 R. MacLeod
39 M. Thomson
22 K. Freeman
12 R. Edwards
10 A. Djoum
1 M. Birighitti

Coach: J. Goodwin

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
6 C. Stokes D
11 D. Armstrong M
17 B. Lyons M
31 L. Polworth M
24 L. Chambers M
7 R. McKenzie M
26 C. Doidge F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
27 I. Cameron
14 J. Sanders
8 B. Alston
16 S. Robinson
21 K. McInroy
1 Z. Hemming
10 Jordan Jones
15 F. Murray
3 J. Dorsett

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B ✓
2,86
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,85
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.