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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Livingston
T U S T T
2–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 7. · ST Johnstone 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 29 1 1 +75 88
2 Rangers 31 24 4 3 +46 76
3 Aberdeen 32 16 2 14 -2 50
4 Hearts 32 13 6 13 +2 45
5 St Mirren 31 12 8 11 -6 44
6 Hibernian 32 13 4 15 -3 43
7 Livingston 31 11 6 14 -19 39
8 Motherwell 31 10 6 15 -3 36
9 ST Johnstone 31 9 5 17 -18 32
10 Kilmarnock 31 7 7 17 -28 28
11 Ross County 32 7 6 19 -19 27
12 Dundee United 31 6 7 18 -25 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Jan -23 ST Johnstone – Livingston 2–4 15. Oct -22 Livingston – ST Johnstone 1–0 7. May -22 Livingston – ST Johnstone 1–1 2. Apr -22 ST Johnstone – Livingston 1–0 1. Feb -22 Livingston – ST Johnstone 1–2

Match report

Livingston ST Johnstone
1–0 J. Nouble ⚽
B. Anderson
23′
2–0 S. Kelly ⚽
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ D. Phillips
Jason Holt 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ J. Murphy
71′
🟨 Zak Rudden
S. Pittman 🔁
↦ S. Bradley
77′
78′
🔁 D. Wotherspoon
↦ C. MacPherson
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ J. Holt
82′
Morgan Boyes 🟨
85′
S. Oméonga 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
11 C. Montaño D
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
17 S. Kelly M
16 S. Bradley F
9 B. Anderson F
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
8 S. Pittman
24 S. Kelly
33 S. Oméonga
7 D. Bahamboula
12 J. Brandon
23 L. de Lucas
29 J. Penrice
32 J. Hamilton
28 K. Guthrie

Coach: D. Martindale

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 R. Matthews G
14 D. Wright D
13 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 A. Montgomery D
34 D. Phillips M
18 C. MacPherson M
26 C. McLennan M
22 M. Hallberg M
29 J. Murphy M
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
23 G. Carey
16 Z. Rudden
10 D. Wotherspoon
17 T. Bair
3 T. Gallacher
2 J. Brown
5 A. Mitchell
31 S. Moreland
20 R. Sinclair

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
🔒
U
3,22
🔒
B
3,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,32
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.