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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Hibernian
U T U S T
2–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 29%
38%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
54%
32%
Both score Ø 47%
54%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 0,30
59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · St Mirren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 26 17 6 3 +28 +12.5 57
2 Rangers 26 14 10 2 +24 +7.2 52
3 Celtic 25 16 3 6 +21 +12.5 51
4 Motherwell 25 11 11 3 +20 +9.3 44
5 Hibernian 26 10 9 7 +10 +1.8 39
6 Falkirk 26 11 6 9 -2 +3.4 39
7 Aberdeen 24 8 4 12 -7 -9.2 28
8 Dundee United 24 5 10 9 -10 -12.2 25
9 Dundee 26 6 6 14 -19 -7.3 24
10 St Mirren 25 5 8 12 -14 +1.1 23
11 Kilmarnock 26 4 8 14 -23 -8.6 20
12 Livingston 27 1 9 17 -28 -10.6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian St Mirren
41′
🟨 Conor McMenamin
1–0 O. Elding
D. Barlaser
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Idowu
↦ J. Devaney
46′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ D. John
58′
🔁 M. O'Hara
↦ M. Fraser
58′
🔁 J. Calvin
↦ D. N'Lundulu
62′
🟨 Richard King
M. Boyle 🔁
↦ O. Elding
64′
A. Suto 🔁
↦ D. Scarlett
64′
2–0 A. Suto
66′
71′
🔁 J. Richardson
↦ C. McMenamin
K. Andrews 🔁
↦ M. Chaiwa
77′
79′
🟨 Mikael Mandron
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 R. Sallinger G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
25 F. Passlack M
22 D. Barlaser M
14 M. Chaiwa M
19 N. Cadden M
17 J. McGrath F
47 O. Elding F
44 D. Scarlett F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
7 T. Youan
8 A. Manneh
10 M. Boyle
27 K. Megwa
28 K. Andrews
32 J. Campbell
35 R. Molotnikov
77 A. Suto

Coach: David Gray

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 S. George G
22 M. Fraser D
5 R. King D
21 M. Freckleton D
10 C. McMenamin M
88 K. Phillips M
8 J. Devaney M
13 A. Gogic M
24 D. John M
20 J. Young F
14 D. N'Lundulu F
Bench (9)
31 R. Mullen
2 J. Richardson
3 S. Tanser
4 L. Donnelly
6 M. O'Hara
7 R. Idowu
17 J. Calvin
29 K. Etete
9 M. Mandron

Coach: Craig McLeish

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,51
B
4,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.