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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Hearts

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Dundee

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 45%

63%

27%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 44%

40%

47%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,08 xG 0,54

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Dundee 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	30	19	6	5	+27	+12.2	63
2	Celtic	30	19	4	7	+24	+18.4	61
3	Rangers	30	16	12	2	+27	+13.9	60
4	Motherwell	30	14	11	5	+26	+12.2	53
5	Hibernian	30	12	11	7	+13	+4.1	47
6	Falkirk	30	12	7	11	+0	+4.4	43
7	Dundee United	30	7	13	10	-10	-9.9	34
8	Dundee	30	8	8	14	-17	-7.3	32
9	Aberdeen	30	8	6	16	-12	-14.4	30
10	St Mirren	30	5	9	16	-23	-3.2	24
11	Kilmarnock	30	5	9	16	-27	-14.4	24
12	Livingston	30	1	12	17	-28	-16.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	15	11	4	0	+19	+7.5	37
2	Celtic	15	11	1	3	+21	+14.6	34
3	Motherwell	15	10	4	1	+21	+12.7	34
4	Rangers	15	9	5	1	+15	+10.9	32
5	Hibernian	15	7	6	2	+13	+7.6	27
6	Falkirk	15	6	5	4	+7	+7.0	23
7	Dundee	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.4	22
8	Dundee United	15	4	6	5	-4	-4.7	18
9	Aberdeen	15	4	5	6	+2	-6.9	17
10	St Mirren	15	4	5	6	-8	+0.9	17
11	Kilmarnock	15	4	3	8	-7	-2.0	15
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	15	7	7	1	+12	+3.0	28
2	Celtic	15	8	3	4	+3	+3.8	27
3	Hearts	15	8	2	5	+8	+4.6	26
4	Hibernian	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.5	20
5	Falkirk	15	6	2	7	-7	-2.6	20
6	Motherwell	15	4	7	4	+5	-0.5	19
7	Dundee United	15	3	7	5	-6	-5.2	16
8	Aberdeen	15	4	1	10	-14	-7.5	13
9	Dundee	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.9	10
10	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	-20	-12.5	9
11	St Mirren	15	1	4	10	-15	-4.1	7
12	Livingston	15	0	6	9	-19	-9.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.