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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Hibernian

S S U U U

3–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 29%

39%

19%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

61%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,14 xG 0,63

52% Possession 48%

5 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	31	20	6	5	+28	+12.7	66
2	Rangers	31	17	12	2	+30	+15.0	63
3	Celtic	31	19	4	8	+22	+18.0	61
4	Motherwell	31	14	12	5	+26	+12.2	54
5	Hibernian	31	12	12	7	+13	+4.0	48
6	Falkirk	31	12	7	12	-1	+4.9	43
7	Dundee United	31	8	13	10	-8	-9.5	37
8	Dundee	31	8	8	15	-18	-7.8	32
9	Aberdeen	31	8	6	17	-15	-15.5	30
10	St Mirren	31	6	9	16	-22	-3.7	27
11	Kilmarnock	31	6	9	16	-25	-13.4	27
12	Livingston	31	1	12	18	-30	-17.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	16	12	4	0	+20	+8.1	40
2	Motherwell	16	10	5	1	+21	+12.7	35
3	Rangers	16	10	5	1	+18	+12.0	35
4	Celtic	15	11	1	3	+21	+14.6	34
5	Hibernian	15	7	6	2	+13	+7.6	27
6	Falkirk	16	6	5	5	+6	+7.5	23
7	Dundee	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.4	22
8	Dundee United	16	5	6	5	-2	-4.3	21
9	Kilmarnock	16	5	3	8	-5	-0.9	18
10	Aberdeen	15	4	5	6	+2	-6.9	17
11	St Mirren	15	4	5	6	-8	+0.9	17
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	15	7	7	1	+12	+3.0	28
2	Celtic	16	8	3	5	+1	+3.3	27
3	Hearts	15	8	2	5	+8	+4.6	26
4	Hibernian	16	5	6	5	+0	-3.5	21
5	Falkirk	15	6	2	7	-7	-2.6	20
6	Motherwell	15	4	7	4	+5	-0.5	19
7	Dundee United	15	3	7	5	-6	-5.2	16
8	Aberdeen	16	4	1	11	-17	-8.6	13
9	St Mirren	16	2	4	10	-14	-4.5	10
10	Dundee	16	2	4	10	-17	-3.4	10
11	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	-20	-12.5	9
12	Livingston	16	0	6	10	-21	-10.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.