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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Sturm Graz

T S T S S

4–1

Full-time

A. Klagenfurt

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

68%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 0

5 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · A. Klagenfurt 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	28	20	7	1	+42	67
2	Sturm Graz	28	18	6	4	+25	60
3	LASK	28	13	11	4	+17	50
4	A. Lustenau	29	10	9	10	-6	39
5	SK Rapid	28	11	5	12	+5	38
6	Austria Vienna	28	10	8	10	+3	38
7	Tirol	29	9	7	13	-9	34
8	A. Klagenfurt	28	10	4	14	-15	34
9	Wolfsberger AC	29	9	6	14	-5	33
10	Hartberg	29	8	6	15	-13	30
11	Ried	29	4	11	14	-19	23
12	Altach	29	5	8	16	-25	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	Salzburg	14	8	6	0	+16	30
3	LASK	14	8	3	3	+9	27
4	A. Lustenau	14	6	4	4	-1	22
5	SK Rapid	14	6	3	5	+6	21
6	Austria Vienna	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Tirol	15	4	5	6	-6	17
8	Hartberg	14	4	3	7	-4	15
9	A. Klagenfurt	14	4	2	8	-9	14
10	Altach	15	3	4	8	-8	13
11	Ried	14	2	6	6	-8	12
12	Wolfsberger AC	15	2	4	9	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	12	1	1	+26	37
2	Sturm Graz	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	LASK	14	5	8	1	+8	23
4	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	2	5	+4	23
5	A. Klagenfurt	14	6	2	6	-6	20
6	Austria Vienna	14	4	5	5	-1	17
7	SK Rapid	14	5	2	7	-1	17
8	Tirol	14	5	2	7	-3	17
9	A. Lustenau	15	4	5	6	-5	17
10	Hartberg	15	4	3	8	-9	15
11	Ried	15	2	5	8	-11	11
12	Altach	14	2	4	8	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.