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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
Hartberg
U T U U U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,68 xG 1,52
35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 8. · Austria Vienna 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 11 6 3 2 +10 +4.2 21
2 Sturm Graz 10 7 0 3 +9 +2.9 21
3 Wolfsberger AC 11 6 2 3 +8 +0.1 20
4 SK Rapid 11 6 2 3 +4 +0.8 20
5 Austria Vienna 11 5 1 5 -3 +0.0 16
6 Altach 11 3 5 3 +0 +1.1 14
7 Ried 11 4 2 5 -1 -2.4 14
8 Hartberg 11 3 4 4 +0 -0.4 13
9 LASK 11 4 1 6 -5 -5.0 13
10 Tirol 10 3 3 4 -1 +3.9 12
11 BW Linz 11 3 1 7 -7 -2.2 10
12 Grazer AK 11 0 6 5 -14 -3.0 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.