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Eliteserien
Referee: Mathias Smehus Kringstad
Valerenga
T T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 58%
42%
73%
Points per game
1,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
58%
69%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
58%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,6
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,77 xG 3,24
29% Possession 71%
12 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 6. · Bodo/Glimt 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 26 19 4 3 +48 +38.5 61
2 Viking 26 18 5 3 +32 +24.3 59
3 Brann 26 16 4 6 +12 +21.0 52
4 Tromso 26 15 3 8 +8 +6.5 48
5 Sandefjord 26 12 3 11 +8 -5.2 39
6 Valerenga 26 11 4 11 -1 -5.0 37
7 Fredrikstad 26 9 9 8 +5 -3.3 36
8 Rosenborg 26 9 9 8 -1 +4.3 36
9 Sarpsborg 08 26 9 8 9 +0 +10.2 35
10 KFUM Oslo 26 8 10 8 +7 +9.6 34
11 Ham-Kam 26 8 7 11 -7 -12.5 31
12 Kristiansund 26 8 7 11 -19 -18.4 31
13 Molde 26 9 3 14 -3 +2.0 30
14 Bryne 26 6 7 13 -15 -6.0 25
15 Stromsgodset 26 6 2 18 -23 -23.7 20
16 Haugesund 26 1 3 22 -51 -42.3 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Bodo/Glimt
1–0 H. Bjordal
C. Lange
32′
2–0 P. Strand
E. Sorensen
45′
Half-time 2–0
E. Hagen 🔁
↦ F. Ambina
46′
46′
🔁 O. Blomberg
↦ D. Bassi
46′
🔁 B. Moe
↦ V. Nielsen
46′
🔁 A. Helmersen
↦ K. Hogh
3–0 M. Grundetjern
Vinicius Nogueira
47′
63′
🔁 S. Auklend
↦ H. Evjen
64′
🟨 Jens Petter Hauge
64′
S. Auklend 3–1
A. Helmersen
S. Sjovold 🔁
↦ M. Grundetjern
76′
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ E. Sorensen
76′
83′
🔁 I. Maatta
↦ J. Hauge
S. Jarl 🔁
↦ H. Bjordal
89′
K. Tshiembe 🔁
↦ P. Strand
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-1-4-1
16 O. Hedvall G
6 V. Hedenstad D
4 A. Olsen
37 I. Nasberg D
27 Vinicius Nogueira D
29 F. Ambina M
24 P. Strand M
8 H. Bjordal M
10 C. Lange M
11 E. Sorensen M
17 M. Grundetjern
Bench (9)
1 J. Storevik
3 H. Sjatil
5 K. Tshiembe
14 O. Obasi
15 E. Hagen
20 L. Apold-Aasen
22 S. Sjovold
26 F. Thorvaldsen
55 S. Jarl

Coach: Geir Bakke

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjovold D
2 V. Nielsen D
4 O. L. Bjortuft D
15 F. Bjorkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
24 D. Bassi F
9 K. Hogh F
10 J. Hauge F
Bench (9)
1 J. Lund
8 S. Auklend
11 O. Blomberg
18 B. Moe
21 A. Helmersen
22 A. Klynge
25 I. Maatta
30 M. Jorgensen
77 M. Bro Hansen

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.