Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heidenheim
Ein Frankfurt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +26 | +17.6 | 24 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | +5.2 | 20 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +3.6 | 19 |
| 4 |
Stuttgart
|
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +6 | +4.0 | 18 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | +6.7 | 17 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | +2.5 | 13 |
| 7 |
Hoffenheim
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | +1.6 | 13 |
| 8 |
FC Koln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | -3.4 | 11 |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -5.8 | 11 |
| 10 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | -4.8 | 10 |
| 11 |
Freiburg
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | +0.4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -3.9 | 8 |
| 13 |
Hamburg
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -0.5 | 8 |
| 14 |
St Pauli
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | -3.4 | 7 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | -8.4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Mainz
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | -2.5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Heidenheim
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | -4.2 | 4 |
| 18 |
M'gladbach
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | -4.6 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Ramaj
G
M. Busch
D
P. Mainka
D
T. Siersleben
D
J. Fohrenbach
D
A. Ibrahimovic
M
J. Niehues
M
J. Schoppner
M
M. Honsak
M
B. Zivzivadze
F
Coach: Frank Schmidt
M. Zetterer
G
R. Kristensen
D
R. Koch
D
A. Theate
D
R. Doan
M
H. Larsson
M
E. Skhiri
M
N. Brown
M
C. Y. Uzun
F
E. Wahi
F
A. Knauff
F
Coach: Dino Nicolas Toppmöller
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heidenheim
Hamburg
Hoffenheim
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Augsburg
Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.