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Serie B
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
1–0
Full-time
Empoli
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 75%
60%
90%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 15. · Empoli 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 11 6 3 2 +11 +2.6 21
2 Modena 10 6 3 1 +10 +0.4 21
3 Monza 10 6 2 2 +7 +1.2 20
4 Cesena 10 6 2 2 +4 +0.8 20
5 Venezia 10 4 4 2 +7 16
6 Palermo 10 4 4 2 +2 -1.2 16
7 Avellino 11 4 4 3 -3 +0.2 16
8 Reggiana 11 4 3 4 +0 -0.4 15
9 Carrarese 11 3 5 3 +2 -0.8 14
10 Juve Stabia 9 3 5 1 +2 14
11 Padova 11 3 5 3 -1 14
12 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +1 12
13 Sudtirol 11 2 5 4 -3 11
14 Empoli 10 2 5 3 -4 -0.7 11
15 Virtus Entella 10 2 4 4 -6 -2.6 10
16 Bari 9 2 3 4 -6 9
17 Pescara 10 1 5 4 -3 -0.2 8
18 Spezia 10 1 4 5 -4 7
19 Sampdoria 10 1 4 5 -5 +0.7 7
20 Mantova 10 1 2 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Virtus Entella Empoli
Half-time 0–0
Andrea Tiritiello 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 B. Popov
↦ R. Ilie
60′
🔁 S. Shpendi
↦ P. Pellegri
A. Debenedetti 🔁
↦ F. Russo
63′
N. Karic 🔁
↦ A. Benali
64′
66′
🟨 Luca Belardinelli
69′
🔁 D. Degli Innocenti
↦ L. Belardinelli
70′
🔁 L. Ignacchiti
↦ A. Ghion
M. Nichetti 🔁
↦ D. Bariti
83′
85′
🟨 Duccio Degli Innocenti
1–0 A. Tiritiello
T. Fumagalli
86′
89′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ G. Yepes
Stefano Di Mario 🟨
94′
D. Portanova 🔁
↦ M. Dalla Vecchia
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Virtus Entella

3-5-2
1 S. Colombi G
23 L. Parodi D
6 A. Tiritiello D
15 I. Marconi D
7 D. Bariti M
24 A. Franzoni M
50 A. Benali M
27 M. Dalla Vecchia M
26 S. Di Mario M
20 T. Fumagalli F
21 F. Russo F
Bench (12)
22 F. Del Frate
99 O. Siaulys
77 A. Boccadamo
42 L. Moretti
2 L. Palomba
90 D. Portanova
8 N. Karic
5 J. Lipani
25 E. Matteazzi
4 M. Nichetti
45 D. Ankeye
19 A. Debenedetti

Coach: Andrea Chiappella

Empoli

3-5-2
21 A. Fulignati G
2 M. Curto D
34 G. Guarino D
5 N. Obaretin D
27 B. Moruzzi M
8 L. Belardinelli M
18 A. Ghion M
14 G. Yepes M
79 F. Carboni M
10 R. Ilie F
9 P. Pellegri F
Bench (11)
12 M. Gasparini
1 S. Perisan
28 G. Indragoli
29 L. Tosto
6 D. Degli Innocenti
25 L. Ignacchiti
70 E. Saporiti
99 F. Bianchi
90 I. Konate
77 B. Popov
11 S. Shpendi

Coach: Guido Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,02
B
3,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.