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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Falkirk

T U S S T

3–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

70%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,86 xG 0,65

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 7. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	8	2	0	+15	+0.8	26
2	Celtic	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
3	Rangers	10	3	6	1	+2	-1.8	15
4	Hibernian	10	3	5	2	+4	+2.0	14
5	Motherwell	10	3	5	2	+3	+1.8	14
6	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	+1	-1.0	13
7	Falkirk	10	3	3	4	-7	-0.7	12
8	Kilmarnock	10	2	4	4	-3	-0.1	10
9	St Mirren	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.5	10
10	Aberdeen	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.6	10
11	Dundee	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.0	9
12	Livingston	10	1	3	6	-9	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+9	+1.8	13
2	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+8	-0.1	13
3	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
4	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.9	7
5	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
6	Hibernian	5	1	3	1	+3	+1.2	6
7	Falkirk	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.1	6
8	Rangers	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.2	6
9	St Mirren	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.2	6
10	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.2	5
11	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	+0	-0.7	4
12	Livingston	4	1	0	3	-1	+0.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
2	Rangers	5	2	3	0	+2	-2.9	9
3	Hibernian	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
4	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
5	Dundee United	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.1	6
6	Motherwell	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
7	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
8	Falkirk	5	2	0	3	-7	-0.8	6
9	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.3	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.