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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
3–2
Full-time
Ried
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 9. · Ried 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 SK Rapid 6 5 1 0 +7 +0.8 16
2 Salzburg 6 3 2 1 +7 +4.2 11
3 Altach 6 3 2 1 +3 +1.1 11
4 Wolfsberger AC 6 3 1 2 +4 +0.1 10
5 Sturm Graz 5 3 0 2 +5 +2.9 9
6 Hartberg 6 3 0 3 +1 -0.4 9
7 Tirol 5 2 2 1 +1 +3.9 8
8 Ried 6 2 1 3 -1 -2.4 7
9 Austria Vienna 6 2 1 3 -3 +0.0 7
10 BW Linz 6 1 1 4 -4 -2.2 4
11 LASK 6 1 0 5 -9 -5.0 3
12 Grazer AK 6 0 3 3 -11 -3.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Ried
22′
K. Mutandwa 0–1
45′
K. Mutandwa 0–2
Half-time 0–2
L. Pazourek 🔁
↦ A. Dragovic
46′
1–2 A. Barry
49′
55′
🟨 Jonas Mayer
55′
🔁 S. Sane
↦ A. van Wyk
57′
🟨 Nikki Havenaar
59′
🔁 M. Rasner
↦ J. Mayer
61′
🟨 Mark Große
Abubakr Barry 🟨
65′
N. Botic 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
66′
77′
🔁 F. Rossdorfer
↦ A. Bajic
77′
🔁 D. Kirnbauer
↦ M. Sollbauer
2–2 J. Eggestein
77′
78′
🟨 Kingstone Mutandwa
3–2 M. Fischer
S. Saljic
84′
P. Maybach 🔁
↦ M. Fischer
87′
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
87′
M. Raguz 🔁
↦ S. Saljic
93′
Marko Raguž 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-3
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
60 D. Radonjic D
15 A. Dragovic D
28 P. Wiesinger D
26 R. Ranftl M
5 A. Barry M
30 M. Fischer M
17 Lee Tae-Seok M
11 M. Sarkaria F
19 J. Eggestein F
20 S. Saljic F
Bench (8)
99 M. Kos
2 L. Pazourek
3 A. Ilic
6 P. Maybach
9 N. Botic
14 K. Boateng
21 H. Guenouche
29 M. Raguz

Coach: Stephan Helm

Ried

3-4-3
1 A. Leitner G
5 N. Havenaar D
23 M. Sollbauer D
30 O. Steurer D
12 A. Bajic M
6 Y. Maart M
26 J. Mayer M
17 P. Pomer M
10 M. Grosse F
7 K. Mutandwa F
29 A. van Wyk F
Bench (9)
77 F. Wimmer
8 M. Rasner
9 S. Sane
13 P. Kiedl
15 J. Boguo
18 F. Rossdorfer
24 C. Wernitznig
25 D. Kirnbauer
28 N. Bajlicz

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.