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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Tirol

S U U T U

1–2

Full-time

Salzburg

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

50%

86%

Both score Ø 79%

100%

57%

Average goals

3,5

3,6

Scored

1,8

2,1

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 8. · Salzburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	7	5	2	0	+7	+0.8	17
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	2	2	+5	+0.1	14
3	Sturm Graz	6	4	0	2	+7	+2.9	12
4	Altach	8	3	3	2	+2	+1.1	12
5	Salzburg	7	3	2	2	+5	+4.2	11
6	Hartberg	7	3	1	3	+1	-0.4	10
7	Austria Vienna	7	3	1	3	-2	+0.0	10
8	Tirol	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.9	9
9	Ried	8	2	2	4	-2	-2.4	8
10	BW Linz	8	2	1	5	-5	-2.2	7
11	LASK	8	2	0	6	-8	-5.0	6
12	Grazer AK	8	0	5	3	-11	-3.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.1	9
2	Altach	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.9	8
3	Salzburg	4	2	1	1	+6	+2.7	7
4	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
5	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.8	7
6	BW Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.3	6
7	LASK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.9	6
8	Austria Vienna	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.2	6
9	Grazer AK	4	0	3	1	-3	-0.2	3
10	Ried	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.5	2
11	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1
12	Sturm Graz	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	4	4	0	0	+9	+2.9	12
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.0	10
3	Hartberg	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.4	9
4	Ried	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.9	6
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.2	5
6	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
7	Altach	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.1	4
8	Salzburg	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.5	4
9	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-3	–	2
10	Grazer AK	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2
11	BW Linz	4	0	1	3	-6	-0.8	1
12	LASK	4	0	0	4	-7	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.